<?xml version='1.0' encoding='UTF-8'?><?xml-stylesheet href="http://www.blogger.com/styles/atom.css" type="text/css"?><feed xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom' xmlns:openSearch='http://a9.com/-/spec/opensearchrss/1.0/' xmlns:georss='http://www.georss.org/georss' xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0'><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992</id><updated>2011-11-06T01:09:31.658+08:00</updated><category term='1050'/><category term='2688'/><category term='8006'/><category term='497'/><category term='764'/><category term='2300'/><category term='1126'/><category term='364'/><category term='163'/><title type='text'>優質股發崛人</title><subtitle type='html'></subtitle><link rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#feed' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default?max-results=100'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/'/><link rel='hub' href='http://pubsubhubbub.appspot.com/'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><generator version='7.00' uri='http://www.blogger.com'>Blogger</generator><openSearch:totalResults>50</openSearch:totalResults><openSearch:startIndex>1</openSearch:startIndex><openSearch:itemsPerPage>100</openSearch:itemsPerPage><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-8220708928375509746</id><published>2011-08-19T23:53:00.001+08:00</published><updated>2011-08-19T23:53:31.011+08:00</updated><title type='text'>*BUY - Huscoke Resources (和嘉資源) 704.HK*</title><content type='html'>&lt;span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;"&gt;*BUY - Huscoke Resources (和嘉資源)&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href="http://704.hk/" style="color: #354258;" target="_blank"&gt;704.HK&lt;/a&gt;*&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Huscoke Resources is a Mainland Chinese company that engages in coal washing&lt;br /&gt;and trading (mid- to down-stream operations in the value chain). &amp;nbsp;It is&lt;br /&gt;actively looking for opportunities to purchase coal mines (upstream assets),&lt;br /&gt;which will transform the company into an integrated coal player.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Its stock closed at $0.222 this Friday (August 19, 2011), representing 7.9x&lt;br /&gt;P/E based on 2010 EPS and 0.48x P/B based on 2011 BV. &amp;nbsp;The company will&lt;br /&gt;announce first half 2011 results next Friday (August 26, 2011) and I expect&lt;br /&gt;that results will be very good as the company has vastly expanded capacity&lt;br /&gt;since the same period last year, and coking coal prices have, on average,&lt;br /&gt;increased 6-8% in the past 6 months. &amp;nbsp;Overall, for 2011, I expect the&lt;br /&gt;company will at least increase EPS by 50%. &amp;nbsp;If true, P/E based on 2011 EPS&lt;br /&gt;will be less than 5.3x, vs. 9-11x for most comparable coal companies (which&lt;br /&gt;have lower growth rates). &amp;nbsp;Stock price has fallen significantly in the past&lt;br /&gt;year alongside weak market sentiments for SMEs generally and lack of&lt;br /&gt;company-specific news. &amp;nbsp;But share price had huge rallies in the third&lt;br /&gt;quarter of 2009 and 2010... and has so far been quiet in 2011.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;No analyst cover this stock actively (there are two local securities firms&lt;br /&gt;that have issued research reports on this company but their reports are&lt;br /&gt;dated), which partially explains the shares being undervalued. &amp;nbsp;I believe&lt;br /&gt;this stock should be worth $0.4 (almost double of this Friday's closing&lt;br /&gt;price of $0.222). &amp;nbsp;Short-term catalysts include (a) strong first half 2011&lt;br /&gt;earnings to be announced next Friday and (b) market rebound generally.&lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp;Medium-term catalysts include (a) purchase of coal mines and (b) more&lt;br /&gt;research analyst coverage.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Also note that Mr. Chim Pui Chung and China Construction Bank are current&lt;br /&gt;shareholders/CB holders.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I strongly advise you to do your own research / adequate homework before&lt;br /&gt;deciding whether to buy this stock.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;- Blogmaster&lt;br /&gt;&amp;nbsp;August 19, 2011&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-8220708928375509746?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/8220708928375509746/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=8220708928375509746' title='2 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/8220708928375509746'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/8220708928375509746'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2011/08/buy-huscoke-resources-704hk.html' title='*BUY - Huscoke Resources (和嘉資源) 704.HK*'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>2</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-5882039958021235225</id><published>2010-11-23T15:06:00.001+08:00</published><updated>2010-11-23T15:06:30.384+08:00</updated><title type='text'>BUY - Emperor International (163.HK)</title><content type='html'>&lt;div&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;BUY - Emperor International (&lt;a href="http://163.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;163.HK&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000"&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;買入 - 英皇國際 (&lt;a href="http://163.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;163.HK&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000"&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000"&gt;You may refer to my old posts for more details about&amp;nbsp;Emperor International.&amp;nbsp; The company&amp;nbsp;will announce 1H&amp;#39;FY2011 financial results tomorrow (Wednesday, Nov 24th&amp;nbsp;2010).&amp;nbsp; What I like are:&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt;  &lt;div&gt; &lt;div&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000"&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;font color="#000000"&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;1)&amp;nbsp;Stellar 1H&amp;#39;FY2011 results expected:&lt;/strong&gt;&amp;nbsp; Strong contribution from rental properties;&amp;nbsp;realized HK$960MM proceeds from The One and HK$460MM from The Java projects per news reports.&amp;nbsp; The stock has a history of surging immediately after good result announcements.&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt;  &lt;div&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;font color="#000000"&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;font color="#000000"&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;2)&amp;nbsp;Chairman buying:&lt;/strong&gt;&amp;nbsp; Chairman has 71.6% shareholding now and has been buying more in past 12 months at HK$1.65-1.85 range.&amp;nbsp; First, it shows his confidence, and second, it takes away free-floating volume in the market (and also much of the free float is with the institutional shareholders), so when demand for the stock comes, due to the relatively stringent supply, there will be strong upward pressure on price.&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt;  &lt;div&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;font color="#000000"&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;font color="#000000"&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;3)&amp;nbsp;Discount to NAV:&lt;/strong&gt;&amp;nbsp; Company has a NAV of $4.00-4.50, so current price represents ~0.4x P/NAV, which is attractive.&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt;  &lt;div&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;font color="#000000"&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;font color="#000000"&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;4)&amp;nbsp;Strong pipeline:&lt;/strong&gt;&amp;nbsp; Lot of project coming online FY&amp;#39;2011-2014 so this can be a longer-term hold as well.&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt;  &lt;div&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;font color="#000000"&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;font color="#000000"&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;5)&amp;nbsp;Good dividend yields:&lt;/strong&gt;&amp;nbsp; Company has a history of paying around 5% yield so this can be a longer-term hold if you want.&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt;  &lt;div&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000" size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div&gt;&lt;font face="Verdana" size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt; &lt;div dir="ltr" align="left"&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000" size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;strong&gt;The company&amp;#39;s&amp;nbsp;three main businesses - a)&amp;nbsp;retail property renting, b) property development and c) hotels - are all going to&amp;nbsp;do well this year.&amp;nbsp; &lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt;  &lt;div dir="ltr" align="left"&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000"&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div dir="ltr" align="left"&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000" size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;a) HK$340MM rental revenue in FY&amp;#39;2010, and I&amp;#39;m guessing FY&amp;#39;2011&amp;nbsp;will be HK$360-380MM.&amp;nbsp; EBIT margin ~90% or&lt;strong&gt; ~HK$320-340MM&lt;/strong&gt;.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt;  &lt;div dir="ltr" align="left"&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000"&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div dir="ltr" align="left"&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000" size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;b) Already pre-sold part of The One and The Java for HK$1420MM for 1H&amp;#39;FY2011.&amp;nbsp; Margins should be pretty high because&amp;nbsp;they bought their land many years ago and they are selling those apartments at HK$10000+/sqft.&amp;nbsp; EBIT margin ~40%, or ~&lt;strong&gt;HK$560MM&lt;/strong&gt;.&amp;nbsp; Should be more if continue to sell in 2H&amp;#39;FY2011.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt;  &lt;div dir="ltr" align="left"&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000"&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div dir="ltr" align="left"&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;font color="#000000"&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif"&gt;c) HK$680MM hotel revenue in FY&amp;#39;2010 (for Macau + HK... they run a casino hotel in Macau and we all know how good business there has been in the past half year), and I&amp;#39;m guessing FY&amp;#39;2011 will be HK$750-800MM due to higher ASP and higher occupancy %.&amp;nbsp; EBIT margin ~30%, or ~&lt;strong&gt;HK$220-230MM.&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt;  &lt;div dir="ltr" align="left"&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000"&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div dir="ltr" align="left"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000" size="2"&gt;So total EBIT for FY&amp;#39;2011 would be ~HK$1.1b+...&amp;nbsp;less ~HK$120MM in interest, less ~HK$160MM in tax, so &lt;strong&gt;~HK$800MM in profits for FY&amp;#39;2011&lt;/strong&gt;.&amp;nbsp; So current year &lt;strong&gt;P/E should be around ~7x&lt;/strong&gt;, which is very reasonable.&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;  &lt;div dir="ltr" align="left"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div dir="ltr" align="left"&gt;&lt;span&gt;In case you are wondering,&amp;nbsp;no I am not worried about property prices coming down because fundamentally, a) demand &amp;gt; supply, b) low interest rates and will stay low for awhile, c) strong balance sheets of developers and their higher COGS due to land, labor, steel and cement&amp;nbsp;so they won&amp;#39;t sell cheap,&amp;nbsp;and d) influx of hot money from China (esp. with RMB appreciating against HKD).&amp;nbsp; Property prices could&amp;nbsp;flatten but&amp;nbsp;are not likely&amp;nbsp;fall significantly&amp;nbsp;in the near-term.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;  &lt;div dir="ltr" align="left"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000"&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div dir="ltr" align="left"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;font face="verdana,sans-serif" color="#000000"&gt;- Blogmaster&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div dir="ltr" align="left"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;font color="#0000ff"&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-5882039958021235225?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/5882039958021235225/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=5882039958021235225' title='4 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/5882039958021235225'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/5882039958021235225'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2010/11/buy-emperor-international-163hk.html' title='BUY - Emperor International (163.HK)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>4</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-6355737648962158707</id><published>2010-09-15T16:21:00.002+08:00</published><updated>2010-09-15T16:21:41.107+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='764'/><title type='text'>永恒策略 (764.HK)</title><content type='html'>&lt;div style="border-collapse: collapse; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;One&amp;nbsp;&lt;u&gt;extremely&lt;/u&gt;&amp;nbsp;speculative idea:&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Buy 永恒策略 (&lt;a href="http://764.hk/" style="color: #354258;" target="_blank"&gt;764.HK&lt;/a&gt;)&amp;nbsp;at $0.38.&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;ul style="border-collapse: collapse; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;"&gt;&lt;li style="margin-left: 15px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;Core businesses are&amp;nbsp;provision of management services to casinos in Macau and property development.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;&lt;li style="margin-left: 15px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;HK$644MM in cash and HK$55MM in debt.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;&lt;li style="margin-left: 15px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;HK1,098MM in&amp;nbsp;Tangible Book Value vs. HK$87MM in market cap currently (if you look at Yahoo Finance&amp;nbsp;or Google Finance, you'll see market cap is HK$418MM but that's not the right figure because the company just announced a 1-for-3 share subscription for existing shareholders, and HK$418MM market cap reflects the theoretical market cap after the new share issuance assuming that everybody exercised their rights.&amp;nbsp; So for now, the&amp;nbsp;proper Price-to-Tangible Book&amp;nbsp;ratio should be calculated with&amp;nbsp;HK$1,098MM and HK$87MM, and should be only 0.1x).&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;&lt;li style="margin-left: 15px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;HK$0.03 per share in&amp;nbsp;interim dividend (ex-dividend date is Oct 15 and payable date is Nov 1 so you can still buy now and enjoy the dividends), so 8% dividend yield with just interim dividend.&amp;nbsp; If the company pays out another HK$0.03, then annual dividend yield would be 16%!&amp;nbsp; The company should have the ability (though not sure about the management's willingness) to do that, given that large&amp;nbsp;pile of cash sitting on the balance sheet, assuming that their accounts are not fictitious.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ul&gt;&lt;div style="border-collapse: collapse; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana;"&gt;Though you should note that this stock is&amp;nbsp;considered by some to be a 莊家股.&amp;nbsp; There's limited visibility on the intent of the management, and how business will do going forward.&amp;nbsp; My recommendation here is not based on value investment philosophy but that of a speculative one.&amp;nbsp; So I would only suggest this stock to those people who are speculative in their investment style and are prepared to lose money.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="border-collapse: collapse; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-6355737648962158707?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/6355737648962158707/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=6355737648962158707' title='6 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6355737648962158707'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6355737648962158707'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2010/09/764hk.html' title='永恒策略 (764.HK)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>6</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-4033694287004843841</id><published>2010-08-02T16:38:00.002+08:00</published><updated>2010-08-02T16:38:19.663+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='497'/><title type='text'>REITERATE BUY on CSI Properties (資本策略) 497.HK @ $0.18</title><content type='html'>&lt;div style="border-collapse: collapse; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;u&gt;REITERATE BUY&lt;/u&gt;&amp;nbsp;on CSI Properties&amp;nbsp;(資本策略)&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href="http://497.hk/" style="color: #354258;" target="_blank"&gt;497.HK&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;@ $0.1&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="color: blue; font-family: Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color: black; font-family: Verdana;"&gt;8&lt;/span&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;ul style="border-collapse: collapse; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;"&gt;&lt;li style="margin-left: 15px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;strong&gt;NAV per share is around $0.65&lt;/strong&gt;&amp;nbsp;so current price represents a 70%+ discount.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;&lt;li style="margin-left: 15px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Property market in HK is bullish&lt;/strong&gt;&amp;nbsp;and should continue to remain so in the next 12-18 months due to a) low interest rates, b) low supply and c) influx of hot money from Mainland and abroad, and so in theory, the NAV of&amp;nbsp;CSI Properties' portfolio should&amp;nbsp;continue to increase.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;&lt;li style="margin-left: 15px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;CSI Properties has engaged agents to&amp;nbsp;&lt;strong&gt;solicit offers for its AXA Centre&lt;/strong&gt;(worth $2.8-3.0 billion at market price vs. $1.44 billion cost at book).&amp;nbsp; If the sale happens, there will be a huge gain of more than $1.3 billion.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;&lt;li style="margin-left: 15px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;CSI Properties is also planning to&amp;nbsp;&lt;strong&gt;start selling its other property project&lt;/strong&gt;(The Amber @ 45 Blue Pool Road, Happy Valley) at the end of this year.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;&lt;li style="margin-left: 15px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span&gt;I&amp;nbsp;have visited many of their properties sites (AXA Centre, Project @ Hoi Ping Road, Project @&amp;nbsp;Hankow Road), they are in&amp;nbsp;&lt;strong&gt;very good locations&lt;/strong&gt;.&amp;nbsp; Properties are about location, location and location, right?&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;&lt;li style="margin-left: 15px;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;The Company announced a&amp;nbsp;&lt;strong&gt;dividend of 5 cents&lt;/strong&gt;&amp;nbsp;for last fiscal year, which give the stock a 3% dividend yield.&amp;nbsp; This gives the stock a baseline for valuation, and it's unlikely that share price will go much below current level.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;&lt;li style="margin-left: 15px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;The stock has been a&amp;nbsp;&lt;strong&gt;serious laggard&lt;/strong&gt;&amp;nbsp;this year.&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;This stock doesn't fall into the radar screens of that many stock analysts&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;because of its size&lt;/span&gt;.&amp;nbsp; Stock price would benefit from more people paying more&amp;nbsp;attention to this stock.&amp;nbsp; The sale of AXA Centre and other projects should raise this company's profile.&amp;nbsp; You can see this same effect happening to Emperor's stock price when it started to sell 維壹 and The JAVA).&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;&lt;li style="margin-left: 15px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span&gt;Overall, I think the stock is undervalued and&amp;nbsp;&lt;span&gt;I'm sure&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;there are others&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;out there&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;who feel the same.&amp;nbsp; The question then becomes when stock price will converge to its fundamental value (which I believe is&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="color: blue; font-family: Arial;"&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;span style="color: black; font-family: Verdana;"&gt;~&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;$0.35).&amp;nbsp; The stock needs a spark to touch it off.&amp;nbsp; The best one would be selling AXA Centre &amp;amp; paying a huge special dividend.&amp;nbsp; The latter may or may not happen, but all in all, I feel this is a very good risk-return trade.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ul&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-4033694287004843841?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/4033694287004843841/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=4033694287004843841' title='3 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/4033694287004843841'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/4033694287004843841'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2010/08/reiterate-buy-on-csi-properties-497hk.html' title='REITERATE BUY on CSI Properties (資本策略) 497.HK @ $0.18'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>3</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-8493610743598321616</id><published>2010-07-06T17:29:00.004+08:00</published><updated>2010-07-06T17:35:21.312+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='2688'/><title type='text'>Xinao Gas (2688.HK)</title><content type='html'>&lt;div&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;i&gt;Sorry that I haven't written for months.&amp;nbsp; I  will try to be a bit more diligent and at least post an idea or two every  month.&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;b&gt;HERE'S THE  LATEST IDEA:&amp;nbsp; Recommend "Buy" on Xinao Gas  (&lt;a href="http://2688.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;2688.HK&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;+ China's energy  consumption will continue to grow in the foreseeable future&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;+  &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;Natural gas is  increasingly used instead of coal and this trend will continue in the  foreseeable future&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;+ PRC gov't is  incentivized to see the&amp;nbsp;sector develop due to its strategic  importance&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;+&amp;nbsp;Sector has  high barrier to entry, being a) relationship with upstream gas providers such as  PetroChina, b) capex, c) ability to obtain license from gov't on gas projects,  among others&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;+ Xinao Gas is a  leading player that has demonstrated ability to grow revenue and  achieve&amp;nbsp;decent margins&amp;nbsp;in the&amp;nbsp;past 10 years&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;+ Earnings is  projected to grow by 20-25% CAGR from 2010 to 2012&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;+ Valuation is  attractive at 17x P/E (based on 2010 analyst consensus earnings estimate),  representing 20-30% discount&amp;nbsp;to peers&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;+ Recent price  weakness was due to alleged fraud but there has been no&amp;nbsp;proof nor further  development to the story,&amp;nbsp;and price has started to  recover&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;+ Morgan Stanley  had reported recently that Xinao Gas may announce 6-7 new gas projects in the  next few weeks&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;+ A peer company,  China Gas, will report its earnings this week and the results should be very  favorable, which reflect that sector fundamentals is good&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;b&gt;Target price is $24/share (vs. $18.3  now)&lt;/b&gt;, representing 30% upside potential.&amp;nbsp; But do your own homework  before buying.&amp;nbsp; Here are some analyst reports that you can  download.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;MS Report:&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="https://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0B7h43MoiTlxyMjg5OGNjZmQtYjU3MS00MjQ0LTk1NTQtZjcyNTgzMDlkOGRk&amp;amp;hl=en"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;https://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0B7h43MoiTlxyMjg5OGNjZmQtYjU3MS00MjQ0LTk1NTQtZjcyNTgzMDlkOGRk&amp;amp;hl=en&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;Citi Report:&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="https://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0B7h43MoiTlxyM2Y2YWRiN2QtNDgzNC00MTIxLTkwNDItOTg1YTljNmY4ZTc1&amp;amp;hl=en"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;https://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0B7h43MoiTlxyM2Y2YWRiN2QtNDgzNC00MTIxLTkwNDItOTg1YTljNmY4ZTc1&amp;amp;hl=en&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;CPY Report:&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="https://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0B7h43MoiTlxyZDg1YTdlZDgtZjM5Zi00NDY5LTg0ZGItMTMxY2IyODFhYjI1&amp;amp;hl=en"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;https://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0B7h43MoiTlxyZDg1YTdlZDgtZjM5Zi00NDY5LTg0ZGItMTMxY2IyODFhYjI1&amp;amp;hl=en&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.blogger.com/goog_599745341"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;ML Report:&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="https://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0B7h43MoiTlxyMzYxMjk0MzYtZWIyNy00OTIwLWI0ODItMjI1ZGFhMzBjY2I3&amp;amp;hl=en"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;https://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0B7h43MoiTlxyMzYxMjk0MzYtZWIyNy00OTIwLWI0ODItMjI1ZGFhMzBjY2I3&amp;amp;hl=en&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;GS Report:&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;a href="https://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0B7h43MoiTlxyY2ZmMmU3MDktNTVlZi00NjA0LWI5OWQtYzhlODU3ZjZmMjQw&amp;amp;hl=en"&gt;https://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0B7h43MoiTlxyY2ZmMmU3MDktNTVlZi00NjA0LWI5OWQtYzhlODU3ZjZmMjQw&amp;amp;hl=en&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-8493610743598321616?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/8493610743598321616/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=8493610743598321616' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/8493610743598321616'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/8493610743598321616'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2010/07/xinao-gas-2688hk.html' title='Xinao Gas (2688.HK)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-7423051557458615945</id><published>2010-04-27T08:54:00.002+08:00</published><updated>2010-04-27T08:54:44.501+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1126'/><title type='text'>Dream Int'l (1126)</title><content type='html'>&lt;span class="Apple-style-span" style="border-collapse: collapse; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: 'times new roman', serif;"&gt;2009 results were in-line with my expectation. &amp;nbsp;The company's CFO said before that he will consider paying out one-third of the company's profits as dividends. &amp;nbsp;The EPS being HK$0.11/share, he's paying out HK$0.03/share (instead HK$0.04/share), which is why the market was disappointed and stock dropped 16% yesterday (and technically, some profit taking as well). &amp;nbsp;In my view, the stock is fairly priced at this HK$0.60-0.80/share level. &amp;nbsp;HK$0.60 represents a dividend yield of 5%, which is fair. &amp;nbsp;Judging from things that have been unfolding in the world, and well as the big order from Brazil, the company should be able to sustain its profitability at the current level for 2010. &amp;nbsp;So the question becomes - if you own the stock right now, what should you do? &amp;nbsp;Well, I think there's limited room for stock price appreciation as this point (and not a lot of downside risk either). &amp;nbsp;If you are ok sitting on a stock with 5% dividend yield and 5.5-6.0x P/E, then hold. &amp;nbsp;But if you have opportunities to earn a higher return, then you should consider selling down your position gradually.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: 'times new roman', serif;"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: 'times new roman', serif;"&gt;I am current studying a 庄家股, which is something that I don't normally do. &amp;nbsp;But this one is interesting in that the company had a change of management in recent months. &amp;nbsp;There's a business unit that's generating good recurring income, and the company is sitting on a lot of cash and with little debt. &amp;nbsp;P/B ratio is 0.1x right now - there's so much value to be unlocked in the company, but obviously, the risk is if the company's new management continues to pillage the company, then the stock you buy will become worthless. &amp;nbsp;But if things go in the right way, then the stock could easily go up 4-5x. &amp;nbsp;Anyway, I'll share the idea upon more research.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-7423051557458615945?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/7423051557458615945/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=7423051557458615945' title='6 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/7423051557458615945'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/7423051557458615945'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2010/04/dream-intl-1126.html' title='Dream Int&apos;l (1126)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>6</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-6210708079691065506</id><published>2010-03-19T15:33:00.002+08:00</published><updated>2010-03-19T15:33:21.333+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='8006'/><title type='text'>中國網(8006)</title><content type='html'>如果下星期一(三月二十二日)中國網(8006)宣布派高股息, 股價將爆升.&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-6210708079691065506?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/6210708079691065506/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=6210708079691065506' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6210708079691065506'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6210708079691065506'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2010/03/8006.html' title='中國網(8006)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-4316090547369242273</id><published>2010-01-03T10:53:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2010-01-03T10:53:58.958+08:00</updated><title type='text'>一周兩件：資策博資產大升值(錢雋)自蘋果日報</title><content type='html'>資本策略（ 497）有靚爆鏡中期業績墊底，仲有大孖沙基金坐鎮，買資策，博資產大升值。資策剛公佈 2010年度（ 3月年結）中期業績，純利升咗 2.9倍到 3.97億銀。就當全年度都係呢個數額入賬，資策 PE都係得 4倍多少少。&lt;br /&gt;又資策最新 NAV 0.4元，現價折讓 42%，已經有唔錯折讓墊底。仲要咁睇，在資策投資組合當中，持作出售物業總值高達 45億銀，真係係咁易加多 20%上去，資策已經可以額外增值 9億銀，每股增值 0.11元，幾乎係現價一半。&lt;br /&gt;再講，資策股東當中，包括無寶不落嘅 Value Partners。 12月頭，有報道話著名基金鄧普頓講過，唔排除喺合理價位增持資策。一於跟基金上車，齋計資策反映上邊每股 NAV增值，股價就要翻近半番到 0.34元。&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://hk.apple.nextmedia.com/template/apple/art_main.php?iss_id=20100103&amp;amp;sec_id=15307&amp;amp;subsec_id=15326&amp;amp;art_id=13587536&amp;amp;cat_id=5886778&amp;amp;coln_id=6795051"&gt;http://hk.apple.nextmedia.com/template/apple/art_main.php?iss_id=20100103&amp;amp;sec_id=15307&amp;amp;subsec_id=15326&amp;amp;art_id=13587536&amp;amp;cat_id=5886778&amp;amp;coln_id=6795051 &lt;/a&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-4316090547369242273?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/4316090547369242273/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=4316090547369242273' title='3 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/4316090547369242273'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/4316090547369242273'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2010/01/blog-post.html' title='一周兩件：資策博資產大升值(錢雋)自蘋果日報'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>3</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-6299837928631543012</id><published>2009-12-27T22:31:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2009-12-27T22:31:56.928+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='497'/><title type='text'>資本策略(497.hk)</title><content type='html'>公司將會在12月28日(星期一)公佈業績.&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-6299837928631543012?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/6299837928631543012/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=6299837928631543012' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6299837928631543012'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6299837928631543012'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/12/497hk.html' title='資本策略(497.hk)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-2887807327687788295</id><published>2009-12-16T16:02:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2009-12-16T16:02:16.092+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='497'/><title type='text'>CAPITAL STRATEGIC (資本策略, 497.HK) - RECOMMEND BUY</title><content type='html'>&lt;div class="MsoNormal"&gt; I have studied this Company for three weeks and my takeaways are:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="ii gt" id=":w2"&gt;&lt;div lang="EN-US" link="blue" vlink="purple"&gt;&lt;div&gt;    &lt;div class="MsoNormal"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="MsoNormal"&gt;Capital Strategic (&lt;a href="http://497.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;497.HK&lt;/a&gt;) is a very good company with a unique business model.&amp;nbsp; Chairman Mico Chung, Value Partners and Templeton all bought at $0.19-0.24 level.&amp;nbsp; The stock has also been recommended by "Master Win" in NOW Business News.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="MsoNormal"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="MsoNormal"&gt;The Company will announce its first-half results in December 28.&amp;nbsp; The results will be very good due to a) one-off gains from CB redemption (~HK$200 million), b) disposal of properties (~HK$60-80 million), c) gains from investments held for trading purpose (~HK$50-100 million) and d) rental income (~HK$50-70 million).&amp;nbsp; Even though the Company has already announced a positive profit warning, I don't believe that the market price has fully reflected this yet.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="MsoNormal"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="MsoNormal"&gt;The Company has many exciting projects that will come to market in the next 3 years, so the value of the Company will be gradually unlocked.&amp;nbsp; It is also venturing into the property market in Mainland China, especially Shanghai, which is a promising proposition, I think, given the need to refurbish/reposition some of the properties in Shanghai and the lack of players with similar skill sets as Capital Strategic.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="MsoNormal"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="MsoNormal"&gt;Given the run-up in property prices in Hong Kong and China for the past 12 months, Capital Strategic's property and land portfolio is very valuable. &amp;nbsp;Capital Strategic's NAV is around HK$3.5 billion.&amp;nbsp; The Company's market cap of HK$1.8 billion represents ~50% discount.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="MsoNormal"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="MsoNormal"&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;i&gt;THIS STOCK IS A SHORT-TO-MEDIUM TERM BUY.&amp;nbsp; TARGET PRICE IS &amp;gt;$0.35 WITHIN ONE YEAR (VERSUS $0.23 CURRENTLY).&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/b&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;i&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: Consolas; font-size: 10.5pt;"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/b&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="MsoNormal"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-2887807327687788295?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/2887807327687788295/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=2887807327687788295' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/2887807327687788295'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/2887807327687788295'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/12/capital-strategic-497hk-recommend-buy.html' title='CAPITAL STRATEGIC (資本策略, 497.HK) - RECOMMEND BUY'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-8529307276111294560</id><published>2009-12-03T19:13:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2009-12-03T19:13:54.228+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='163'/><title type='text'>3V Capital's research report on Emperor Int'l (163.HK)</title><content type='html'>&lt;div class="MsoNormal"&gt;3V Capital published a research report on Emperor Int'l (&lt;a href="http://163.hk/" id="SAWARN1d65md5" name="SAWARN1d65md5" original_id="" original_name="" real_href="http://163.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;163.HK&lt;/a&gt;) today.&amp;nbsp; Their recommendation is BUY and target price is HK$2.60.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="MsoNormal"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="MsoNormal"&gt;See report here:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="https://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0B7h43MoiTlxyYzM0YTk3NGEtZWE0Ni00ZTZlLWJiMTQtMGFmNzI4ZjBhNzQz&amp;amp;hl=en"&gt;https://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0B7h43MoiTlxyYzM0YTk3NGEtZWE0Ni00ZTZlLWJiMTQtMGFmNzI4ZjBhNzQz&amp;amp;hl=en&lt;/a&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-8529307276111294560?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/8529307276111294560/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=8529307276111294560' title='2 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/8529307276111294560'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/8529307276111294560'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/12/3v-capitals-research-report-on-emperor.html' title='3V Capital&apos;s research report on Emperor Int&apos;l (163.HK)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>2</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-8209102525086261766</id><published>2009-12-02T06:51:00.002+08:00</published><updated>2009-12-02T06:51:57.609+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='163'/><title type='text'>英皇國際轉賺 13億</title><content type='html'>&amp;nbsp;英皇系兩公司公佈截至 9月底止中期業績，英皇國際（ 163）半年業績虧轉盈，賺 13.24億元，每股盈利 68仙，派中期息 4.8仙；英皇娛樂酒店（ 296）半年純利按年增 1.95倍至 5127.5萬元，每股盈利 5仙，中期息 2.5仙。 &lt;img align="absmiddle" src="http://hk.apple.nextmedia.com/template/apple/images/art_end.gif" /&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-8209102525086261766?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/8209102525086261766/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=8209102525086261766' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/8209102525086261766'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/8209102525086261766'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/12/13.html' title='英皇國際轉賺 13億'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-7566411890359515604</id><published>2009-12-01T23:37:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2009-12-01T23:37:57.767+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='163'/><title type='text'>英皇國際 163.HK 剛公佈中期業績</title><content type='html'>英皇國際業績漂亮,派息超過本人預期. 明天開市股價理應續升.&lt;br /&gt;目標價調升至$2.40. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;業績詳情:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/20091201/LTN200912011155_C.pdf" real_href="http://www.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/20091201/LTN200912011155_C.pdf" target="_blank"&gt;http://www.hkexnews.hk/&lt;wbr&gt;&lt;/wbr&gt;listedco/listconews/sehk/&lt;wbr&gt;&lt;/wbr&gt;20091201/LTN200912011155_C.pdf&lt;/a&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-7566411890359515604?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/7566411890359515604/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=7566411890359515604' title='2 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/7566411890359515604'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/7566411890359515604'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/12/163hk.html' title='英皇國際 163.HK 剛公佈中期業績'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>2</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-3118344575463821254</id><published>2009-11-29T17:23:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2009-11-29T17:23:43.625+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='163'/><title type='text'>英皇國際（163.HK）下週二（12月1日）公佈中期業績</title><content type='html'>&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="england"&gt;英&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="emperor international (1126.HK) will announce its interim results next Tuesday (December 1)."&gt;皇國際（&lt;a href="http://163.hk/" real_href="http://163.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;163.HK&lt;/a&gt;）將&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;於&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="emperor international (1126.HK) will announce its interim results next Tuesday (December 1)."&gt;下週二（12月1日）&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="emperor international (1126.HK) will announce its interim results next Tuesday (December 1)."&gt;公佈中期業績&lt;wbr&gt;&lt;/wbr&gt;。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The results should be very strong (and stronger than market expectation) on property revaluation gains, property disposal gains and strong rental income."&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="i expect"&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="i expect"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The Company has a history of paying interim dividends in normal times, so I would expect the Company to resume dividend payment upon the announcement."&gt;預計&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="i expect"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="emperor international (1126.HK) will announce its interim results next Tuesday (December 1)."&gt;業績&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="at"&gt;在&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The results should be very strong (and stronger than market expectation) on property revaluation gains, property disposal gains and strong rental income."&gt;物業重估收益，&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="asset sale gain"&gt;資產出售收益&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The results should be very strong (and stronger than market expectation) on property revaluation gains, property disposal gains and strong rental income."&gt;和&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="robust"&gt;強勁&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The results should be very strong (and stronger than market expectation) on property revaluation gains, property disposal gains and strong rental income."&gt;租金收入&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The Company has a history of paying interim dividends in normal times, so I would expect the Company to resume dividend payment upon the announcement."&gt;的&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="propel"&gt;推動&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="down"&gt;&lt;wbr&gt;&lt;/wbr&gt;下&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The results should be very strong (and stronger than market expectation) on property revaluation gains, property disposal gains and strong rental income."&gt;，&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The results should be very strong (and stronger than market expectation) on property revaluation gains, property disposal gains and strong rental income."&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="will do"&gt;會&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="far"&gt;遠&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="higher"&gt;高&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The results should be very strong (and stronger than market expectation) on property revaluation gains, property disposal gains and strong rental income."&gt;於市場預期&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="emperor international (1126.HK) will announce its interim results next Tuesday (December 1)."&gt;。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The Company has a history of paying interim dividends in normal times, so I would expect the Company to resume dividend payment upon the announcement."&gt;公司&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;並&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="has chance"&gt;有機會&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The Company has a history of paying interim dividends in normal times, so I would expect the Company to resume dividend payment upon the announcement."&gt;恢復派息。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="That would attract fund managers to buy."&gt;這將吸引基金經理&lt;wbr&gt;&lt;/wbr&gt;購買。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The Company's NAV is around HK$3.3-3.5 so the current price represents more than 50% discount to NAV."&gt;公司的資產淨值約為3.3至3.5&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Share price was very resilient at HK$1.5 last week despite the Dubai World incident (where Hang Seng Index fell more than 1000 points)."&gt;元&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The Company's NAV is around HK$3.3-3.5 so the current price represents more than 50% discount to NAV."&gt;，目前的價格&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="has"&gt;有&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The Company's NAV is around HK$3.3-3.5 so the current price represents more than 50% discount to NAV."&gt;50％&lt;wbr&gt;&lt;/wbr&gt;以上的折讓。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Chairman has continued buying shares from the market in the past month, at above $1.4 level."&gt;主席&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Chairman has continued buying shares from the market in the past month, at above $1.4 level."&gt;在過去一個月&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="within"&gt;內&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Chairman has continued buying shares from the market in the past month, at above $1.4 level."&gt;繼續&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Chairman has continued buying shares from the market in the past month, at above $1.4 level."&gt;在$ 1.4以上水平&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Chairman has continued buying shares from the market in the past month, at above $1.4 level."&gt;從市場&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The Company's NAV is around HK$3.3-3.5 so the current price represents more than 50% discount to NAV."&gt;上&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Chairman has continued buying shares from the market in the past month, at above $1.4 level."&gt;買進股票&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Share price was very resilient at HK$1.5 last week despite the Dubai World incident (where Hang Seng Index fell more than 1000 points)."&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Share price was very resilient at HK$1.5 last week despite the Dubai World incident (where Hang Seng Index fell more than 1000 points)."&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The Company's NAV is around HK$3.3-3.5 so the current price represents more than 50% discount to NAV."&gt;，&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="represent his confidence in the stock"&gt;代表他&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;對&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The Company's NAV is around HK$3.3-3.5 so the current price represents more than 50% discount to NAV."&gt;公司&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="emperor international (1126.HK) will announce its interim results next Tuesday (December 1)."&gt;業績&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="represent his confidence in the stock"&gt;的信心&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Chairman has continued buying shares from the market in the past month, at above $1.4 level."&gt;。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Chairman has continued buying shares from the market in the past month, at above $1.4 level."&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Share price was very resilient at HK$1.5 last week despite the Dubai World incident (where Hang Seng Index fell more than 1000 points)."&gt;儘管&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Share price was very resilient at HK$1.5 last week despite the Dubai World incident (where Hang Seng Index fell more than 1000 points)."&gt;&lt;wbr&gt;&lt;/wbr&gt;上週&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="five"&gt;五&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="happen"&gt;發生&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Share price was very resilient at HK$1.5 last week despite the Dubai World incident (where Hang Seng Index fell more than 1000 points)."&gt;迪拜世界事件（其中恆生指數下跌1000多點）&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Share price was very resilient at HK$1.5 last week despite the Dubai World incident (where Hang Seng Index fell more than 1000 points)."&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The Company's NAV is around HK$3.3-3.5 so the current price represents more than 50% discount to NAV."&gt;，&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="england"&gt;英&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="emperor international (1126.HK) will announce its interim results next Tuesday (December 1)."&gt;皇&lt;wbr&gt;&lt;/wbr&gt;國際&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Share price was very resilient at HK$1.5 last week despite the Dubai World incident (where Hang Seng Index fell more than 1000 points)."&gt;股價&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="still can"&gt;還可以&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="stand firm"&gt;站穩&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;於&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Share price was very resilient at HK$1.5 last week despite the Dubai World incident (where Hang Seng Index fell more than 1000 points)."&gt;1.5元&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Share price was very resilient at HK$1.5 last week despite the Dubai World incident (where Hang Seng Index fell more than 1000 points)."&gt;。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="I expect that share price will reach HK$2.0 within 6 months."&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="I expect that share price will reach HK$2.0 within 6 months."&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="I expect that share price will reach HK$2.0 within 6 months."&gt;&lt;b&gt;我預&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="emperor international (1126.HK) will announce its interim results next Tuesday (December 1)."&gt;期&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="I expect that share price will reach HK$2.0 within 6 months."&gt;股價將&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Chairman has continued buying shares from the market in the past month, at above $1.4 level."&gt;在&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="within short term"&gt;短期內&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="go up to"&gt;升到&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="I expect that share price will reach HK$2.0 within 6 months."&gt;$2.0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="Share price was very resilient at HK$1.5 last week despite the Dubai World incident (where Hang Seng Index fell more than 1000 points)."&gt;元&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/b&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="I expect that share price will reach HK$2.0 within 6 months."&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="The Company's NAV is around HK$3.3-3.5 so the current price represents more than 50% discount to NAV."&gt;，&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="and hence i recommend buy at current level"&gt;因此我建議在目前水平買&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="entrance"&gt;入&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/b&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="background-color: white;" title="I expect that share price will reach HK$2.0 within 6 months."&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;wbr&gt;&lt;/wbr&gt;。&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-3118344575463821254?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/3118344575463821254/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=3118344575463821254' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/3118344575463821254'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/3118344575463821254'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/11/163hk121.html' title='英皇國際（163.HK）下週二（12月1日）公佈中期業績'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-1989575842761170650</id><published>2009-11-17T10:18:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2009-11-17T10:18:23.120+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1126'/><title type='text'>good news on 1126: 德林國際(HK)獲1,800萬美元新訂單</title><content type='html'>德林國際(HK)獲1,800萬美元新訂單                                                          &lt;table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" height="50"&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;                  &lt;td class="newscontent"&gt;鉅亨網新聞中心&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;(來源：世華財訊)&lt;br /&gt;2009 / 11 / 16 星期一&amp;nbsp;17:37&lt;/td&gt;                   &lt;!--友善列印轉寄文章--&gt; &lt;script language="javascript"&gt;&lt;!--function modFontsize(ActType){if(ActType=='add'){ fontstyle.style.fontSize=eval(parseInt(fontstyle.style.fontSize)+2)+"pt" ;} else{  if(parseInt(fontstyle.style.fontSize)&gt;=8) {     fontstyle.style.fontSize=eval(parseInt(fontstyle.style.fontSize)-2)+"pt" ;    }else     fontstyle.style.fontSize="6pt" ;} } function modFontlineheight(ActType){if(ActType=='add'){ fontstyle.style.lineHeight=eval(parseInt(fontstyle.style.lineHeight)+4)+"pt" ;} else{  if(parseInt(fontstyle.style.lineHeight)&gt;18)  {     fontstyle.style.lineHeight=eval(parseInt(fontstyle.style.lineHeight)-4)+"pt" ;  } else     fontstyle.style.lineHeight="14pt" ;} } --&gt;&lt;/script&gt;                                                      &lt;/tr&gt;&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;br /&gt;德林國際宣佈，已獲得一份價值1800萬美元毛絨玩具銷售合同。&lt;br /&gt;德林國際(01126)11月16日發佈公告稱，公司已經從一位來自巴西的新客戶獲得一份價值1800萬美元毛絨玩具銷售合同，預期09年底前會完成其中約220萬美元的銷售，其餘將於2010年5月底前付運。&lt;br /&gt;(劉國輝 編輯)&lt;br /&gt;免責聲明：本文所載資料僅供參考，並不構成投資建議，世華財訊對該資料或使用該資料所導致的結果概不承擔任何責任。若資料與原文有異，概以原文為準。世華財訊資訊中心：editor@shihua.com.cn 電話：010-58022299轉235&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-1989575842761170650?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/1989575842761170650/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=1989575842761170650' title='3 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/1989575842761170650'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/1989575842761170650'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/11/good-news-on-1126-hk1800.html' title='good news on 1126: 德林國際(HK)獲1,800萬美元新訂單'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>3</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-6639642834216630897</id><published>2009-11-12T11:47:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2009-11-12T11:47:32.636+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1126'/><title type='text'>Still in the game- Hong Kong Standard</title><content type='html'>&lt;a href="http://www.thestandard.com.hk/news_detail.asp?pp_cat=48&amp;amp;art_id=90232&amp;amp;sid=26016026&amp;amp;con_type=3&amp;amp;d_str=20091109&amp;amp;sear_year=2009"&gt;&lt;b class="bodyHeadline"&gt;Still in the game&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;!--       &lt;strong&gt;&lt;font size="2"&gt;&lt;span class="bodyCopy"&gt;The toy industry was badly hit by the credit crunch last year. Poor consumer sentiment in the West saw key players such as RBI Holdings (0566), Kiu Hung Energy Holdings (0381) and Matrix (1005) turning in lackluster   performances.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;//--&gt;         &lt;span class="bodyCopy"&gt;Derek Yiu &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/span&gt;        &lt;span class="bodyCopy"&gt;&lt;i&gt;Monday, November 09, 2009&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;table align="right" border="0" cellpadding="9" cellspacing="0" id="Table2" style="width: 250px;" valign="top"&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: xx-small;"&gt;&lt;!--caption here --&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;span class="bodyCopy"&gt;The toy industry was badly hit by the credit crunch last year. Poor consumer sentiment in the West saw key players such as RBI Holdings (0566), Kiu Hung Energy Holdings (0381) and Matrix (1005) turning in lackluster performances&lt;a href="http://www.thestandard.com.hk/news_detail.asp?pp_cat=48&amp;amp;art_id=90232&amp;amp;sid=26016026&amp;amp;con_type=3&amp;amp;d_str=20091109&amp;amp;sear_year=2009"&gt;.(......Con't)&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-6639642834216630897?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/6639642834216630897/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=6639642834216630897' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6639642834216630897'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6639642834216630897'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/11/still-in-game-hong-kong-standard.html' title='Still in the game- Hong Kong Standard'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-9013984364043052308</id><published>2009-11-09T11:15:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2009-11-09T11:16:21.723+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='163'/><title type='text'>財話短說 樓市好轉　英皇料轉賺 (轉載自&lt;蘋果日報&gt;)</title><content type='html'>http://hk.apple.nextmedia.com/template/apple/art_main.php?iss_id=20091107&amp;amp;sec_id=15307&amp;amp;subsec=15320&amp;amp;art_id=13394720&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;英皇國際（ 163）發盈喜，預期截至 9月底止中期業績虧轉盈，主因近期物業市場好轉，令集團投資物業的公允價值跟隨變動。 &lt;img src="http://hk.apple.nextmedia.com/template/apple/images/art_end.gif" align="absmiddle" /&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-9013984364043052308?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/9013984364043052308/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=9013984364043052308' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/9013984364043052308'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/9013984364043052308'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/11/blog-post.html' title='財話短說 樓市好轉　英皇料轉賺 (轉載自&lt;蘋果日報&gt;)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-7531071474376677780</id><published>2009-11-06T21:12:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2009-11-06T21:13:04.139+08:00</updated><title type='text'></title><content type='html'>&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;本&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;週德林國際（&lt;/span&gt;&lt;a name="SAWARN1d64ca0" id="SAWARN1d64ca0" original_name="" original_id="" real_href="http://1126.hk/" href="http://1126.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;1126.HK&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;）&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;股&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;價&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;升&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;了很多，&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;原因&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;是彩星玩具（&lt;/span&gt;&lt;a name="SAWARN1d64ca0" id="SAWARN1d64ca0" original_name="" original_id="" real_href="http://869.hk/" href="http://869.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;&lt;wbr&gt;869.HK&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;）&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;最近的活&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;動觸發了&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;投資者&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;對&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;玩&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;具&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;股&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;的&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;憧憬&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;。我&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;依&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;然相&lt;wbr&gt;信，德林的股價將在宣布&lt;/span&gt;2009&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;年全年業績（&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;以&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;及恢復股息）後&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;升&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;&lt;wbr&gt;到&lt;/span&gt;0.65 &lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;或以&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;上。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;時間應該是&lt;/span&gt;2010&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;年&lt;/span&gt;3&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;月中&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-7531071474376677780?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/7531071474376677780/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=7531071474376677780' title='3 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/7531071474376677780'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/7531071474376677780'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/11/1126.html' title=''/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>3</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-6621055341898863010</id><published>2009-09-29T23:02:00.001+08:00</published><updated>2009-09-29T23:02:43.638+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1126'/><title type='text'>德林走出低谷 擬派末期息</title><content type='html'>&lt;table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td&gt;&lt;h5&gt;德林走出低谷 擬派末期息&lt;br /&gt;  &lt;/h5&gt;&lt;/td&gt;         &lt;td class="content_normal" align="right" valign="top"&gt;2009年9月29日&lt;/td&gt;        &lt;/tr&gt;       &lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;                     &lt;div id="newscontent"&gt;        &lt;div class="content_normal"&gt;&lt;p&gt;【明報專訊】毛絨玩具製造商&lt;a href="'javascript:KeywordsURL_financeKW("&gt;&lt;span style="color:#0000ff;"&gt;德林國際&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style="color:#0000ff;"&gt;&lt;a href="'javascript:KeywordsURL_financeKW("&gt;&lt;span style="color:#0000ff;"&gt;(1126)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/span&gt;執行董事總經理李泳模表示，公司業績已「見底」，相信經營將會持續改善，現正考慮在全年度業績時派末期股息，派息比率或達盈利的三分一，唯他強調，對經濟前景仍較為謹慎，派息與否需視乎全年業務表現。德林上半年業績轉虧為盈，錄得盈利3890萬元，不派中期息。&lt;/p&gt; &lt;/div&gt;                                &lt;div class="content_normal"&gt;&lt;p&gt;他 績稱，玩具業整合令部分競爭對手遭淘汰，市場整體產能下降，令公司市場佔有率增大，聖誕接訂單情因而按年有所上升。他相信，公司下半年銷售額將有望繼續 提升，並有信心毛利率可維持上半年27.3%的水平。另外，公下半年資本開支約300萬美元，主要用於越南新廠投資及營運。&lt;/p&gt; &lt;/div&gt;       &lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-6621055341898863010?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/6621055341898863010/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=6621055341898863010' title='2 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6621055341898863010'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6621055341898863010'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/09/blog-post_29.html' title='德林走出低谷 擬派末期息'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>2</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-3934735668573987640</id><published>2009-09-28T10:16:00.001+08:00</published><updated>2009-09-28T11:09:29.499+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1126'/><title type='text'>Dream Int’l (1126.HK) 2009 interim results</title><content type='html'>&lt;div style="margin: 1ex;"&gt;      &lt;div&gt;     &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:100%;"&gt;The 2009 interim results of  Dream Int’l (&lt;a href="http://1126.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;1126.HK&lt;/a&gt;) came out last Friday night and was &lt;u&gt;better&lt;/u&gt;  than I expected, with sales growing 13% YoY and gross margin being very  strong at 27% (up from 13% in the first half of 2008).&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:100%;"&gt;The Company also booked a $21m  gains from disposal of Jiangsu plant (originally thought it would be  booked in second half of 2009) and paid 6% effective tax rate (thought  it would be 15%).&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:100%;"&gt;&lt;b&gt;So overall net profit was  $38m, which is a great number&lt;/b&gt;.  The Company’s balance sheet  is very strong with &lt;b&gt;$200m cash and $50m debt&lt;/b&gt;, and it also seems  to be managing its working capital well.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:100%;"&gt;I expect the Company to make  another $30-35m in net profit for second half of 2009, bringing &lt;b&gt;total  net profit in 2009 to $68-73m.&lt;/b&gt;  And I anticipate that the Company  will resume paying dividends for full-year 2009 (after skipping for  3 years) of 0.05/share.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:100%;"&gt;Given the strong set of results,  I think the Company’s share price should reach &lt;u&gt;$0.60&lt;/u&gt; (1x P/B)  within two months, and &lt;u&gt;$0.80&lt;/u&gt; within a year (7x P/E, 6-7% dividend  yield).&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:100%;"&gt;&lt;b&gt;RECOMMEND BUY NOW AT $0.42.   TARGET $0.60 BY NOVEMBER 2009 AND $0.80 BY SEPTEMBER 2010.&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:100%;"&gt;p.s. you may download the interim  report from:  &lt;/span&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.dream-i.com.hk/tc_chi/announce.html" target="_blank"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:100%;color:#0000ff;"&gt;&lt;u&gt;http://www.dream-i.com.hk/tc_&lt;wbr&gt;chi/announce.html&lt;/u&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;   &lt;/div&gt;  &lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-3934735668573987640?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/3934735668573987640/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=3934735668573987640' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/3934735668573987640'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/3934735668573987640'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/09/dream-intl-1126hk-2009-interim-results.html' title='Dream Int’l (1126.HK) 2009 interim results'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-1733251925720945379</id><published>2009-09-24T21:21:00.001+08:00</published><updated>2009-09-24T21:21:46.789+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='2300'/><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1126'/><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='364'/><title type='text'>Dream (1126.HK), AMVIG (2300.HK), HuaFeng (364.HK)</title><content type='html'>&lt;p&gt;After reviewing the interim results of Sewco (&lt;a href="http://209.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;209.HK&lt;/a&gt;), I have revised downwards my sales expectation for Dream Int'l (&lt;a href="http://1126.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;1126.HK&lt;/a&gt;) in 2009.  On the other hand, Sewco's gross margin was much better than I expected (i.e. rose from 5% in 1H'2008 to 15% in 1H'2009).  Sales decline and margin expansion should offset each other to a large extent for the bottom line.  Overall, my expectation for Dream Int'l remains the same.  &lt;u&gt;Dream Int'l will have a great year in 2009&lt;/u&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt;Two new stock ideas I developed --&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;AMVIG (&lt;/b&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;澳&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/b&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;科&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/b&gt;&lt;b&gt;, &lt;a href="http://2300.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;2300.HK&lt;/a&gt;, $3.4 now)&lt;/b&gt;- stable cigarettes packaging industry, AMVIG is #1 market leader with 12% market share, stable margins, strong cash flow, net cash position (i.e. cash &gt; debt) after recent disposal of an under-performing subsidiary.  Stock price has been over-penalized these days.  &lt;u&gt;Target price is $4.8-$5.4&lt;/u&gt;, representing 12x of what I see as the normal, post-subsidiary disposal EPS of $0.40-$0.45.  Big upside if the company pursues further business acquisitions or if there's a privatization / takeover bid (AMVIG would actually make a very good MBO/LBO candidate).&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;HuaFeng (&lt;/b&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;華豐&lt;/span&gt;, &lt;a href="http://364.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;364.HK&lt;/a&gt;, $0.33 now) &lt;/b&gt;- reputable textile company, Huafeng has demonstrated resilience in earnings during economic downturn.  EPS for 2009 is expected to be around $0.075 (excluding one-time gain of $0.06), representing 4.4x P/E.  P/Book is 0.33x.  Management has publicly said that there has been a pickup in orders since June 2009.  Huafeng has net cash of $267m (vs. market cap of $409m) that should support generous dividends for next few years.  &lt;u&gt;Target price is $0.52-0.60&lt;/u&gt;, representing 7-8x (which is the normal, mid-cycle P/E range) of expected EPS in 2009, without giving any consideration to the net cash.  Big upside if the management declares large special dividends.&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt;I don't think I'll be able to come up with any more new stock ideas for next two months (it's a very time-consuming process), but I'll *try* to post weekly on this blog for updates about companies that I have recommended and/or other general market observations and/or interesting research reports that I come across (e.g. the JPMorgan one).&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-1733251925720945379?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/1733251925720945379/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=1733251925720945379' title='3 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/1733251925720945379'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/1733251925720945379'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/09/dream-1126hk-amvig-2300hk-huafeng-364hk.html' title='Dream (1126.HK), AMVIG (2300.HK), HuaFeng (364.HK)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>3</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-7415315031313694963</id><published>2009-09-17T18:09:00.001+08:00</published><updated>2009-09-17T18:09:32.003+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1126'/><title type='text'>德林國際(1126.HK)</title><content type='html'>&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;德林國際&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;(&lt;a href="http://1126.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;1126.HK&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;的股價今天再漲&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;18%&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;至&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;$0.42&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;，&lt;wbr&gt;而且成交量&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;進一步上&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;升。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;我認&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;為，&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;短&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;期內&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;8&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;至&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;10&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;個&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;月&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;合理價格&lt;wbr&gt;應&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;為&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;$0.60(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;代表還&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;有&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;40&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;％&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;上漲空間&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;但&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;極&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;短&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;期內&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;至&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;2&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;&lt;wbr&gt;個&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;月&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;追&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;貨&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;有一定&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;的&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;風險&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;p.s. &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;我&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;正&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;研究另一間上市公司&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;製&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;衣業&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;的&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;，如結果值得分享，我&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;將&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;在兩&lt;wbr&gt;至三個星期&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;內&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;張貼&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-7415315031313694963?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/7415315031313694963/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=7415315031313694963' title='2 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/7415315031313694963'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/7415315031313694963'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/09/1126hk_17.html' title='德林國際(1126.HK)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>2</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-1380797767628469821</id><published>2009-09-16T21:36:00.001+08:00</published><updated>2009-09-16T21:36:51.369+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1126'/><title type='text'>德林國際(1126.HK)</title><content type='html'>&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;德林國際&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;(&lt;a href="http://1126.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;1126.HK&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;的股價今天漲了&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;22%&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;，&lt;wbr&gt;而成交量配合且是近月之最，但股價仍然遠低於其內在價值。建議在&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: &amp;quot;Times New Roman&amp;quot;,&amp;quot;serif&amp;quot;;"&gt;&lt;wbr&gt;$0.31-0.33&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: SimSun;" lang="ZH-CN"&gt;附近累積。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-1380797767628469821?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/1380797767628469821/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=1380797767628469821' title='7 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/1380797767628469821'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/1380797767628469821'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/09/1126hk_16.html' title='德林國際(1126.HK)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>7</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-4101887484055674103</id><published>2009-09-15T20:35:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2009-09-15T20:36:27.045+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1126'/><title type='text'>德林國際(1126.HK)的中期業績</title><content type='html'>&lt;span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;"&gt;另一毛絨玩具製造商祟高國際(&lt;a href="http://209.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;209.HK&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;wbr&gt;將於9月21日公佈中期業績。你應注意該公司的整體盈利能力，&lt;wbr&gt;特別是毛利率。這對德林國際的中期業績(於9月25日公佈)&lt;wbr&gt;有參考作用。請注意，德林國際&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;"&gt;歷來&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;"&gt;的利潤率均高於祟高國際&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-4101887484055674103?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/4101887484055674103/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=4101887484055674103' title='5 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/4101887484055674103'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/4101887484055674103'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/09/1126hk.html' title='德林國際(1126.HK)的中期業績'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>5</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-1745513247198179279</id><published>2009-09-14T23:16:00.001+08:00</published><updated>2009-09-14T23:19:35.435+08:00</updated><title type='text'>潛在10倍股</title><content type='html'>&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:SimSun;"  lang="ZH-CN"&gt;有一份新的&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34);"&gt;JP Morgan&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:SimSun;"  lang="ZH-CN"&gt;研究報告關於&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34);"&gt;"&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span  lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:SimSun;"&gt;潛在&lt;/span&gt;10&lt;span  lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:SimSun;"&gt;倍&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span  lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:SimSun;"&gt;股&lt;/span&gt;"&lt;span&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:SimSun;"  lang="ZH-CN"&gt;。想要的話，請在這裡sign-up：&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://spreadsheets.google.com/viewform?hl=en&amp;amp;formkey=dGVxVDFHZ1RxT082YjJEUV9oRzdJaXc6MA.."&gt;http://spreadsheets.google.com/viewform?hl=en&amp;amp;formkey=dGVxVDFHZ1RxT082YjJEUV9oRzdJaXc6MA..&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;大概會每2-3個工作天發一次。&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-1745513247198179279?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/1745513247198179279/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=1745513247198179279' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/1745513247198179279'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/1745513247198179279'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/09/10.html' title='潛在10倍股'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-3475055135268386626</id><published>2009-09-13T08:45:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2009-09-13T08:52:05.321+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1126'/><title type='text'>Dream International (德林國際, 1126.HK)</title><content type='html'>I am reading the book, &lt;u&gt;Security Analysis&lt;/u&gt;, by Graham and Dodd.  I will put Dream International (德林國際, &lt;a href="http://1126.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;1126.HK&lt;/a&gt;) in context and see how well it fits the authors' value investing criteria, and share my sights later here.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Those of you who bought or are waiting to buy the stock must be anxious to see the Company's 2009 interim results that are due in late September.  I would note that for a toy manufacturer, revenue in second half of the year is typically 30-40% higher than that in first half, because of Christmas orders.  And due to the presence of fixed costs, net income is normally more than 30% higher in second half compared to first half.  So one would likely underestimate the full year result by simply multiplying first half result by two.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I did a back-of-the-envelope estimation of Dream International's 2009 financials, and I'm hopeful that the Company can achieve&lt;b&gt; HK$10-15 million net profit for first half&lt;/b&gt; with no interim dividend, and &lt;b&gt;HK$45-55 million net profit for second half&lt;/b&gt; with full year dividend of HK$25-30 million or 4-4.5 cents per share.  And I would say that while I have a reasonable chance to be off for first half, I feel very confident about full year.  If that happens, after full year result announcement and dividend resumption, share price should go above $0.60 (more than double current share price).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;And for those who bought already, I would preach that you be patient and&lt;b&gt; hold for at least 8 months.&lt;/b&gt;  I know it's difficult to do, but whenever you have an urge to sell, just think about how much upside you will miss by selling early.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;- Blogmaster&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-3475055135268386626?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/3475055135268386626/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=3475055135268386626' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/3475055135268386626'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/3475055135268386626'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/09/dream-international-1126hk.html' title='Dream International (德林國際, 1126.HK)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-2076928527194497745</id><published>2009-09-09T22:52:00.002+08:00</published><updated>2009-09-11T09:36:36.769+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='163'/><title type='text'>英皇國際報告</title><content type='html'>&lt;span class="Apple-style-span" style="border-collapse: collapse; color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:arial;font-size:15;"  &gt;有一份新的研究報告&lt;em&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;/em&gt;關於英皇國際(&lt;a href="http://163.hk/" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(53, 66, 88);"&gt;163.HK&lt;/a&gt;)。如果想要，&lt;wbr&gt;請email&lt;br /&gt;2005mhk18@gmail.com&lt;br /&gt;索取。&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-2076928527194497745?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/2076928527194497745/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=2076928527194497745' title='18 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/2076928527194497745'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/2076928527194497745'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/09/blog-post.html' title='英皇國際報告'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>18</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-857711431110860467</id><published>2009-09-06T22:12:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2009-09-06T22:13:30.116+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1126'/><title type='text'>德林國際(1126)</title><content type='html'>近日我和德林國際(1126)的一位高層管理人員交流。儘管他沒有明確說明，我得到的印象是公司預計在2009年可以取得良好的業績，以及公司可能選擇不支付中期股息（即2009年上半年），但分發全年股息的可能性很高。公司將在本月底公佈其2009年上半年業績。&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;此外，我又花了兩個星期研究這個公司，我堅信，&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;股價將在兩年內超過$1。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-857711431110860467?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/857711431110860467/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=857711431110860467' title='3 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/857711431110860467'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/857711431110860467'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/09/1126.html' title='德林國際(1126)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>3</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-7188687572082903053</id><published>2009-08-21T10:11:00.002+08:00</published><updated>2009-08-23T10:06:10.863+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1126'/><title type='text'>Share price to go up 150%-200% within one year</title><content type='html'>&lt;span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family:Verdana;" &gt;&lt;p&gt;A listed toy doll manufacturer has lost money in the past 3-4 years and has stopped paying dividends, but there are signs that the &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;business will turnaround &lt;/span&gt;in 2009.  The reasons are:&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="text-decoration: underline;"&gt;Macro environment&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;a) &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;i&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;mproved industry structure &lt;/span&gt;as half of the 8,000 toy manufacturers in China folded in 2008 (so less price competition, etc.)&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;b) &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;better operating environment&lt;/span&gt; (e.g. less RMB appreciation, slower labor rate inflation, lower oil price)&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;c)&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt; inventory re-stocking &lt;/span&gt;of US and Europe customers in general after running down their inventories in 2008&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;d) Chinese government &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;increased export tax rebate&lt;/span&gt; from 11% to 14%&lt;span style="text-decoration: underline;"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="text-decoration: underline;"&gt;Company-specific&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;e) company received &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;new significant orders &lt;/span&gt;received from Disney&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;f) company &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;streamlined cost structure&lt;/span&gt; (e.g. layoffs, moving factories to Vietnam) &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;In fact, some evidence of business turnaround can be seen in the company's 2H'2008 results, where it managed to &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;achieve a small profit &lt;/span&gt;(the first profit-making period in the past 3-4 years). The Chairman also sounded &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;cautiously optimistic &lt;/span&gt;in his statement in the 2008 annual report.  Interestingly, the Chairman of another listed major toy doll manufacturer said he expected a profit in 2009 (vs. significant loss in 2008) and that 1Q'2009 margins were strong, providing important clues to what is to come in 2009.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Besides normal operations, the company is &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;selling one of its factories in China for HK$60m&lt;/span&gt; and will book a gain of HK$20m in 2009. Given all the above, the company will &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;likely report strong results in 2009&lt;/span&gt; (HK$40m+ according to my estimation).&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;The company has HK$196m in cash and HK$145m in debt as at the end of 2008, and with the HK$60m proceeds from the factory sale and improved business performance, there's a good chance that it will resume dividends in 2009. If the company pays a special dividend totaling its net cash (HK$196m - HK$145m = HK$51m) and the factory disposal proceeds (HK$60m), that HK$111m would represent 67% yield (!!!). I don't actually think the Chairman would do that, but that is just to give you an idea of the extent of the dividend possible. Even if the Chairman dividends out the factory proceeds only, the dividend yield would still be 36%.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Anyway, if both the strong results and the dividends happen, share price &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;could easily go up 150-200%&lt;/span&gt; within one year, and more within 3 years as the company fully recovers.  I think a sustainable, ongoing dividend level (3-4 years down the road) for this company is HK$0.07-0.09.  Assuming a required dividend yield of 6-8% (consistent with historical average for this company and its peers), the &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;theoretical share price should be $0.9-$1.3&lt;/span&gt;.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;The P/Book and P/Sales ratio for this company are 0.4x and 0.2x respectively.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The caveat is that the &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;trading volume is very thin&lt;/span&gt;, and one must be patient about "collecting" shares in the market over a period of several week to avoid "jacking up" the share price unnecessarily. The volume should increase dramatically if the company announces strong results and/or resumes dividends.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;One risk for this play is if the strong results and dividends DON'T happen, then &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;your money may get "stuck"&lt;/span&gt; until the trading volume comes back (well, if you put in $50k, you should still be able to get out easily, but if you are invest $500k, then it'll be much more difficult).  That said, I do very strongly believe that good things will happen in 2009, and weighing the potential risk and return, and assuming that your investment horizon is at least 12 months, &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;I would still highly recommend BUY.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;The company is Dream International (德林國際, &lt;a href="http://1126.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;1126.HK&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-7188687572082903053?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/7188687572082903053/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=7188687572082903053' title='6 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/7188687572082903053'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/7188687572082903053'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/08/share-price-to-go-up-150-200-within-one.html' title='Share price to go up 150%-200% within one year'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>6</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-6321117058132394995</id><published>2009-08-14T08:07:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2009-08-14T08:08:17.141+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1050'/><title type='text'>《蘋果日報》股場放大鏡：工業股要吼嘉利</title><content type='html'>&lt;em&gt;2009年08月14日&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/em&gt;從事代工生產的工業股嘉利國際（ 1050），去年業績也不錯，截至 09年 3月底止全年營業額 24.61億元，按年下跌 12%，不過純利就大升 68%至 2208萬元，每股盈利為 3.8仙，末期息 1.5仙。在收入下降的情況下，純利仍有上升，主要是由於人民幣減慢升值，同時原材料價格回落，成本壓力減輕。&lt;br /&gt;近年人民幣升值、勞工、油價及鐵料 等成本上升，對工業股不利，嘉利透過開源節流包括精簡人手、減少參與割價產品的產銷，以提升效益，同時審慎擴充，保持財政良好， 3月底止淨現金 4000多萬元。這隻曾是 David Webb聖誕推介的工業股一向企業管治出色，參考其他前度聖誕推介如愛高（ 328）、富士高（ 927）近月股價升幅以倍數計，嘉利也有機會隨時跑出。&lt;br /&gt;歐陽風 &lt;img src="http://hk.apple.nextmedia.com/template/apple/images/art_end.gif" align="absmiddle" /&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-6321117058132394995?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/6321117058132394995/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=6321117058132394995' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6321117058132394995'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6321117058132394995'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/08/blog-post.html' title='《蘋果日報》股場放大鏡：工業股要吼嘉利'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-2991943326141398014</id><published>2009-08-12T22:40:00.005+08:00</published><updated>2009-08-13T23:19:53.086+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='163'/><title type='text'>Emperor International, 英皇國際 (163.HK) - Recommend BUY</title><content type='html'>&lt;a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/SoLXpHyf6-I/AAAAAAAAJR8/Kff7k6PpQQo/s1600-h/image002.jpeg"&gt;&lt;img style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 400px; height: 225px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/SoLXpHyf6-I/AAAAAAAAJR8/Kff7k6PpQQo/s400/image002.jpeg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5369090807244516322" border="0" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;12-month target price is $2.0, +67% from current price of $1.2&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Chairman (whom you probably know) is buying a lot of shares from the open market (more than 10 occasions) at around $1.2, and the CB that he issued to Emperor Int'l has a conversion price of $1.2;  both of these actions mean that the Chairman is highly confident that the shares should be worth much more than $1.2 (i.e. if he doesn't think he's going to earn at least 20-25% annual return on his capital, he won't do it in the first place).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;NAV is the best metric to value Emperor Int'l given that a) it's a property development company and b) the Company's portfolio is relatively young, i.e. many projects will be completed in 2011-2013 time frame.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;ul&gt;&lt;li&gt;NAV of Emperor Int'l is conservatively estimated to be $3.3 (while $3.8 is more realistic), and the underlying property assets in Hong Kong, Beijing, Shanghai and Xiamen are of good quality&lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ul&gt;&lt;ul&gt;&lt;li&gt;Applying a 40% discount to NAV (big property developers trade at 10-15% discount while smaller ones trade at 30-40% discount) leads to $2.0, which is my target price.&lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ul&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;ul&gt;&lt;li&gt;Many small-cap property stocks have rebounded in the past 6 months and the extent is much larger than Emperor Int'l so this is a "laggard play" as well, i.e. most of these stocks are already above their Aug 2008 price level, but Emperor Int'l is still only half of its Aug 2008 price level (see chart below).&lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ul&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Emperor Int'l has a FYE of March, and first-half FY 2010 results (i.e. April 2009 to Sept 2009) will be announced in Dec 2009.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;ul&gt;&lt;li&gt;The results should be very strong due to a) solid rental income, b) significant rebound of the property market since March 2009 (there will be a significant upward revaluation of properties that flows through P&amp;amp;L), and c) HK$143m in profits from 2 pieces of property in Causeway Bay that was sold.&lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ul&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;ul&gt;&lt;li&gt; Emperor Int'l would likely resume dividend payments upon announcing the upcoming results (there was no dividend payment for previous year).&lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ul&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;ul&gt;&lt;li&gt;I would expect investors to be positively surprised when the announcement comes out.&lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ul&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Due to its relatively small market cap, Emperor Int'l is not covered by investment banks.  The only institution that covers Emperor Int'l is a small investment house called 3V Capital.  I think that minimal coverage is a good thing because if a stock is well-covered, then it tends to be more efficiently priced and hence more difficult for investors to achieve above average risk-adjusted return.  I believe that Emperor Int'l is NOT efficiently priced, and in time, its stock price will converge to its "true" fundamental value.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;So overall, my recommendation is to buy at current price and hold for at least 6 months.  For those that are concerned about a possible correction in the stock market, I would suggest a phase-in approach, where you buy some every month for next 3-4 months such that you average out your entry price.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;img src="file:///C:/Users/ERICAY%7E1/AppData/Local/Temp/moz-screenshot.jpg" alt="" /&gt;&lt;img src="file:///C:/Users/ERICAY%7E1/AppData/Local/Temp/moz-screenshot-1.jpg" alt="" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span id=":vd"&gt;&lt;a target="_blank" href="http://mail.google.com/mail/?ui=2&amp;amp;ik=76c2b13090&amp;amp;view=att&amp;amp;th=1230f0eec2d340db&amp;amp;attid=0.1&amp;amp;disp=inline&amp;amp;zw"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-2991943326141398014?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/2991943326141398014/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=2991943326141398014' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/2991943326141398014'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/2991943326141398014'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/08/emperor-international-163hk-recommend.html' title='Emperor International, 英皇國際 (163.HK) - Recommend BUY'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media='http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/' url='http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/SoLXpHyf6-I/AAAAAAAAJR8/Kff7k6PpQQo/s72-c/image002.jpeg' height='72' width='72'/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-498641833496426925</id><published>2009-08-12T18:40:00.003+08:00</published><updated>2009-08-12T23:44:54.256+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1050'/><title type='text'>原來《信報》都有講1050嘉利國際</title><content type='html'>&lt;div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);" id="xspace-showmessage" class="xspace-itemmessage"&gt; &lt;div style="text-align: justify;" id="articleTime"&gt;轉載自《信報》&lt;br /&gt;&lt;table class="copy" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr valign="top"&gt;&lt;td style="border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(204, 204, 204);"&gt;&lt;span class="blueboldbig"&gt;信報財經新聞               &lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        P29 |  理財投資 |  每日一股           &lt;/td&gt;            &lt;td style="border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(204, 204, 204);" align="right"&gt;2009-07-22&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/td&gt;          &lt;/tr&gt;   &lt;tr&gt;   &lt;td colspan="3" style="padding-top: 5px;" align="right"&gt;       &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/td&gt;   &lt;/tr&gt;                                                              &lt;tr&gt;&lt;td colspan="3"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;                 &lt;table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"&gt;                    &lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;                   &lt;td class="headline" align="left"&gt;&lt;span class="bluebold"&gt;&lt;span class="highlight"&gt;嘉利&lt;/span&gt;受惠經濟谷底回升&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/td&gt;                   &lt;td align="right"&gt;                                          &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/td&gt;              &lt;/tr&gt;              &lt;tr&gt;                &lt;td colspan="2"&gt;                                     &lt;br /&gt;&lt;/td&gt;                    &lt;/tr&gt;            &lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;br /&gt;              &lt;/td&gt;                &lt;/tr&gt;                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                &lt;tr&gt;&lt;td&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;                &lt;tr&gt;                                                             &lt;td colspan="3" class="content"&gt;&lt;p&gt;　　　全球經濟有望見谷底，對去年飽受消費放緩及衰退打擊的工業股帶來憧憬，可留意上年度逆市下業績偏穩的公司，顯示其可攻可守能耐。&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;　　&lt;span class="highlight"&gt;嘉利&lt;/span&gt;國 際（1050）這間從事產銷電腦外殼及文儀產品等五金塑膠與提供電子專業代工業，其收入頗為全球性。去年依然有亞洲與香港收入上升，而中國與西歐維持最大 收入來源，去年業務先穩後減，公司在面對人民幣升值、勞工、燃油價格及鐵料等成本上升下，透過開源節流包括精簡人手，一年內員工人數下調約22％，減少參 與見血割喉式殺戮的產品產銷，以提升效益。&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;　　公司採取最壞打算、最好準備的態度，令財務狀況穩定。配合自2003╱04年度開始的擴張及 自動化計劃，令規模效益得以發揮，令2008╱09年度五金塑膠業務營業額下跌5％；但經營溢利升28％，至6172萬元。不過，電子專業代工依然有 3871.2萬元虧損，2008╱09年度溢利上升55％，至2043.3萬元；每股盈利為3.8仙。隨着客戶情況有所改善，而生產成本部分已回落，而其 玉泉及宜興新廠一、二期工程已完成，無疑公司對市場展望依然有保留，亦是該公司予投資者有信心的特質，被視為具透明度及良好企業管治的工業股，如相信經濟 逐步回升，亦是有利於中線收集的不錯對象。&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="text-align: justify;" id="contentText"&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.hkej.com/hkej_upload/dnews/973/118715/039.jpg" border="0" /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;                                                                   &lt;/div&gt;            &lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-498641833496426925?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/498641833496426925/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=498641833496426925' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/498641833496426925'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/498641833496426925'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/08/1050.html' title='原來《信報》都有講1050嘉利國際'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-2688420551224429479</id><published>2009-08-10T17:41:00.003+08:00</published><updated>2009-08-10T17:53:02.842+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1050'/><title type='text'>嘉利國際控股有限公司(1050)   +9.84% (2009/08/10)</title><content type='html'>&lt;a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/Sn_rfWevpbI/AAAAAAAAJRs/TwgUBpN3JwQ/s1600-h/karrie0810.png"&gt;&lt;img style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 400px; height: 225px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/Sn_rfWevpbI/AAAAAAAAJRs/TwgUBpN3JwQ/s400/karrie0810.png" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5368268204691924402" border="0" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;b style="color: rgb(0, 136, 0);"&gt;+0.06 (9.84%)&lt;/b&gt;&lt;div class="price"&gt;&lt;b&gt;0.670&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;table style="width: 169px; height: 19px;" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style="font-weight: bold;" class="c4"&gt;成交量:&lt;/td&gt;&lt;td style="font-weight: bold;" class="c5"&gt;3,746,000&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-2688420551224429479?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/2688420551224429479/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=2688420551224429479' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/2688420551224429479'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/2688420551224429479'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/08/1050-984-20090810.html' title='嘉利國際控股有限公司(1050)   +9.84% (2009/08/10)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media='http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/' url='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/Sn_rfWevpbI/AAAAAAAAJRs/TwgUBpN3JwQ/s72-c/karrie0810.png' height='72' width='72'/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-8065071825266393601</id><published>2009-08-03T08:58:00.002+08:00</published><updated>2009-08-03T09:01:03.709+08:00</updated><title type='text'>會儘快update100萬元基金倉</title><content type='html'>因優質股發掘人在 recommend之前入了嘉里國際（1050）。&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;-erica&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-8065071825266393601?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/8065071825266393601/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=8065071825266393601' title='2 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/8065071825266393601'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/8065071825266393601'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/08/update100.html' title='會儘快update100萬元基金倉'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>2</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-4100132667246745394</id><published>2009-08-01T00:19:00.002+08:00</published><updated>2009-08-01T00:22:03.269+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1050'/><title type='text'>+15.38%</title><content type='html'>&lt;div class="first"&gt;&lt;a href="http://hk.finance.yahoo.com/q?s=1050.HK"&gt;1050.HK&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;嘉利國際&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="p"&gt;&lt;p class="l"&gt;最新價: &lt;b&gt;0.600 &lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p class="r"&gt;&lt;img src="http://l.yimg.com/mq/i/fi/arrow_up.gif" alt="Up" /&gt; &lt;b style="color: rgb(0, 136, 0);"&gt;0.08 (+15.38%)&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-4100132667246745394?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/4100132667246745394/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=4100132667246745394' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/4100132667246745394'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/4100132667246745394'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/08/1538.html' title='+15.38%'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-6113346711423073150</id><published>2009-07-29T14:20:00.003+08:00</published><updated>2009-07-30T17:29:21.664+08:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='1050'/><title type='text'>Karrie International (1050.HK) - Recommend BUY</title><content type='html'>Karrie International (1050.HK) - Recommend BUY&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Target price is $1.2, +130% from $0.52 now&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;·         Karrie's profit margin is poised to recover, because a) many competing OEM/ODMs have folded during the economic downturn, b) very few new entrants in the past 24 months due to low industry profitability and lack of bank credit, c) gross margin outlook for Karrie's customers is stable (alleviating pressure for, say, Epson to beat up their OEM/ODM, e.g. Karrie), d) raw material prices (e.g. steel, plastic) have come down, e) labor inflation in China has alleviated, and f) Karrie has cut back staffing and adopted other measures to reduce costs in the past 12-18 months.  Given all the above, profit margin is very likely going to recover in the short- to medium-term.  In fact, one can see that profit margin has already started to recover since September 2008.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;·         Karrie managed to do $2.5-3.5b in Sales and 5-6% Net Margin in normal, good times.  While I think the industry's margin is structurally lower, it's conceivable that Karrie will be able to go back to $2.5b in Sales (not to mention that Karrie spent $400m in capex for the past few years, which in theory, should boost its capacity, i.e. Karrie can handle probably $5-6b in Sales if there are orders), and 4% Net Margin.  As such, "normal" Net Income would be $100m, which is almost 5x the current Net Income level (because current Net Margin is only 1%).  Industrial OEM/ODMs normally trade at 7-9x P/E, so "normal" equity valuation for Karrie should be $700-900m, translating to "normal" share price of $1.1-$1.5.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;·         While a company's stock price should in theory driven by the future cash flows discounted by a rate of return, book value is a good (albeit not perfect) metric to gauge what value one can get out of the company, if one were to buy it, repay the debts and sell all assets.   Karrie's book value per share stands at $1.2.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;·         Karrie will hold an AGM in late-August 2009 to approve a share buy-back program for up to 10% of issued shares.  Purpose of the program is to put the Company's cash ($640m) to best use, e.g. boost EPS/BVPS.  If this happens, and given the trading liquidity of the shares (which is reasonable but not high), it would be provide a lot of upward momentum for Karrie's share price.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;·         Karrie's balance sheet is very healthy  and the Company is in a net cash position (i.e. cash of $640m and debt of $605m so net cash of $35m).  Karrie's operating cash flow is very strong as well, and capex will be much less in the next 2-3 years (i.e. the Company has already expanded enough for possible demand in the next 6-8 years).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;·         Karrie has recently formed a JV with a listed Taiwanese OEM/ODM manufacturer called Teco.  Teco managed to maintain gross margin of 25-30% in the past few years.  If that is any indication to the gross margin level of the JV, this would be very positive to Karrie, though any meaningful contribution will take 2-3 years to materialize.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;·         Overall, this one is a medium risk / high return play, and the theme could take 18-24 months to fully play out, so I would advise against buying if one's investment horizon is only a few weeks or months.  But for those that can be patient, and even though share price has already doubled from the $0.265 bottom reached in November 2008 (market picking up signals that Karrie's business is improving), there is still significant room for share price to run up (the extent of the possible recovery is not yet fully priced in).  The stock has only minimal correlation with the broader Hang Seng Index, so even if you expect a correction of the latter, you can still buy the stock right now.  But again, you should always do your own homework before making any investment decision.&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-6113346711423073150?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/6113346711423073150/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=6113346711423073150' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6113346711423073150'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6113346711423073150'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/07/karrie-international-1050hk-recommend.html' title='Karrie International (1050.HK) - Recommend BUY'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-5491191238182083844</id><published>2009-07-23T22:05:00.003+08:00</published><updated>2009-07-23T22:14:40.228+08:00</updated><title type='text'>又發掘了一隻優質股</title><content type='html'>有一隻研究了3年的股票，&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;預計股價會在2年內會升200% 。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;詳情會在10天內公佈。&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;p.s.希望讀者早前有買創科（669）和中視金橋（623），前者升了209%，後者則升了153% 。（恒指同期升了47%）&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-5491191238182083844?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/5491191238182083844/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=5491191238182083844' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/5491191238182083844'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/5491191238182083844'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/07/blog-post.html' title='又發掘了一隻優質股'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-216956496576169916</id><published>2009-03-02T09:19:00.002+08:00</published><updated>2009-03-02T09:20:03.302+08:00</updated><title type='text'>AMVIG (2300.HK) is a good buy</title><content type='html'>&lt;span class="Apple-style-span"   style="  white-space: pre; font-family:Arial;font-size:12px;"&gt;&lt;span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial; font-size: 15px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 16px; white-space: normal; "&gt;澳科控股有限公司 (2300.HK)&lt;/span&gt;  Analysis to follow later.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-216956496576169916?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/216956496576169916/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=216956496576169916' title='2 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/216956496576169916'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/216956496576169916'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/03/amvig-2300hk-is-good-buy.html' title='AMVIG (2300.HK) is a good buy'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>2</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-7873979718754622261</id><published>2009-01-09T12:08:00.001+08:00</published><updated>2009-01-09T12:13:32.891+08:00</updated><title type='text'>創科(0669.HK)急升17%，花旗調高盈測及評級</title><content type='html'>工業股喘息一日後繼續熱炒，創科(0669.HK)&lt;small&gt;(&lt;a href="http://hk.finance.yahoo.com/q?s=0669.HK&amp;amp;d=nc"&gt;0669.HK&lt;/a&gt; - &lt;a href="http://hk.finance.yahoo.com/q/h?s=0669.HK"&gt;新聞&lt;/a&gt; - &lt;a href="http://hk.biz.yahoo.com/p/hk/profile/0669.HK.html"&gt;公司資料&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/small&gt;受惠花旗調高盈測及評級，升破周三高位($2.6)，現報$2.64，急升17%，成交已有2190萬股。&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;花旗將創科評級由「沽售」調高至「買入」，並調高其08年核心盈測44%，料09年盈利受惠原材料跌急升，及再融資獲銀行支持；惟目標價由7.8元下調至3.9元，風險評級則由「適中」升至「高」。&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;花旗表示，創科有能力將於2008年1.8億美元貸款中的一半，再融資為兩年期貸款，反映其獲銀行支持。該行估計09年付還債務降至1.34億美元，2010為降至1.15億美元。&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;花旗表示，原材料及零件價格下跌，佔90%銷貨成本，有助改善09年毛利，預期09年盈利會急升。&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-7873979718754622261?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/7873979718754622261/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=7873979718754622261' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/7873979718754622261'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/7873979718754622261'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/01/0669hk17.html' title='創科(0669.HK)急升17%，花旗調高盈測及評級'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-6246175095080106132</id><published>2009-01-09T10:41:00.003+08:00</published><updated>2009-01-10T10:00:54.091+08:00</updated><title type='text'>創科 (0669） 今天（1月9日）升18%，收市升30%</title><content type='html'>&lt;a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/SWa5iGe4m3I/AAAAAAAAGjM/TokNK4CJ27E/s1600-h/669.jpg"&gt;&lt;img style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 320px; height: 146px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/SWa5iGe4m3I/AAAAAAAAGjM/TokNK4CJ27E/s320/669.jpg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5289118807900068722" border="0" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-6246175095080106132?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/6246175095080106132/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=6246175095080106132' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6246175095080106132'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6246175095080106132'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/01/0669hk-1918.html' title='創科 (0669） 今天（1月9日）升18%，收市升30%'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media='http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/' url='http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/SWa5iGe4m3I/AAAAAAAAGjM/TokNK4CJ27E/s72-c/669.jpg' height='72' width='72'/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-6021080833046308163</id><published>2009-01-09T10:23:00.001+08:00</published><updated>2009-01-09T10:23:33.365+08:00</updated><title type='text'>用一半現金買入 波司登(3998)</title><content type='html'>@&lt;br /&gt;$0.76&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-6021080833046308163?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/6021080833046308163/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=6021080833046308163' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6021080833046308163'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/6021080833046308163'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/01/3998.html' title='用一半現金買入 波司登(3998)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-5423046564113970494</id><published>2009-01-08T16:11:00.002+08:00</published><updated>2009-01-08T21:43:27.880+08:00</updated><title type='text'>波司登 Bosideng (3998)</title><content type='html'>&lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt;Bosideng is China's leading down apparel (&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style=";font-family:SimSun;font-size:10;"   lang="ZH-CN"&gt;羽绒服&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt;) manufacturer in China.  It went IPO in Hong Kong in Oct 2007, traded at $3.50 at that time and has since declined to current share price of $0.76.   I would recommend this stock because:&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;u&gt;&lt;span style="font-size:100%;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;"&gt;Business&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/u&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt;+ Market leader with &lt;b&gt;40% market share&lt;/b&gt;, way higher than the #2 player&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt;+ Streamlining operations by folding unprofitable outlets, as well as improving product mix and increasing average selling price by 5-6%...  with raw material prices coming down, &lt;b&gt;margins should improve &lt;/b&gt;though sales could moderately decline&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size:100%;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;"&gt;+ Leveraging the Bosideng brand to &lt;b&gt;move into non-down apparel&lt;/b&gt; and looking at &lt;b&gt;M&amp;amp;A opportunities&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;u&gt;&lt;span style="font-size:100%;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;"&gt;Valuation&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/u&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size:100%;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;"&gt;+ Strong balance sheet, with &lt;b&gt;net cash of $4.5Bn or $0.58 per share&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt;+ Trading at 5x P/E vs 5-10x for comps Giordano, Texwinca and Ports Design.  On first glance, Bosideng doesn't look that cheap, but given Bosideng has a lot of cash on hand, its ex-cash P/E (which I believe is the right methodology to look at this stock)&lt;b&gt; &lt;/b&gt;is &lt;b&gt;only 1x&lt;/b&gt;, far cheaper than its comps&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;u&gt;&lt;span style="font-size:100%;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;"&gt;Financials&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/u&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt;+ EPS is expected to be largely &lt;b&gt;stable&lt;/b&gt; at $0.16-0.20 range for next two years, though estimates could come down somewhat due to challenging economic environment, but probably not significantly&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt;+ &lt;b&gt;Op Cashflow turned positive&lt;/b&gt; in the first half of the current fiscal year&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt;+ Results announced for first half of current fiscal year seemed poor but if one looks more closely, the results are not really as bad, as a lot of items were non-recurring and Apr-Sep'08 were warm months which are traditionally weak for down apparel sales obvious so financials were skewed to the downside because of fixed costs...  the financials should "normalize" in the second half of current fiscal year, and should provide &lt;b&gt;stimulus to stock price&lt;/b&gt; when announced (May-Jun 2009 time frame)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;u&gt;&lt;span style="font-size:100%;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;"&gt;Technical&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/u&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt;+ Management aggressively buying back shares from open market ($240MM from Apr-Jun 2008, or 2.8% of total shares outstanding), and they plan to &lt;b&gt;spend another $500MM buying back shares&lt;/b&gt;…  shows that the management believes shares are undervalued, and provides buying support for share price&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt;I would rate this stock as medium risk / high potential return.  Key risks include deterioration of financials (significant decline in sales and margins) and governance.  But again, given net cash of $0.58 per share, &lt;b&gt;downside is 25%&lt;/b&gt;, assuming floor price is net cash level.  Assuming EPS of $0.12 (to be conservative, analyst consensus estimate is $0.16) and ex-cash P/E of 5x, the shares should be worth $1.20, which represents &lt;b&gt;upside of 55%&lt;/b&gt;.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt;----------------------------------------&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Calibri;font-size:100%;"&gt;I'd like to note that, while my portfolio performance of +44% since its inception on Dec-1-2008 (vs +7% for Hang Seng Index in the same period) is good, it doesn't mean that much because the time period is very short.  Also, I would also like to emphasize the importance of doing your own homework before investing.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-5423046564113970494?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/5423046564113970494/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=5423046564113970494' title='2 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/5423046564113970494'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/5423046564113970494'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/01/bosideng-3998.html' title='波司登 Bosideng (3998)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>2</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-980159968731763007</id><published>2009-01-07T22:28:00.002+08:00</published><updated>2009-01-08T09:41:35.415+08:00</updated><title type='text'>中視金橋（623）今天（1月7日）再升30%</title><content type='html'>CLICK TO ENLARGE&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/SWS8RQGzyqI/AAAAAAAAGjA/1mKHlLggpkU/s1600-h/623.jpg"&gt;&lt;img style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 320px; height: 194px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/SWS8RQGzyqI/AAAAAAAAGjA/1mKHlLggpkU/s320/623.jpg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5288558867007130274" border="0" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-980159968731763007?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/980159968731763007/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=980159968731763007' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/980159968731763007'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/980159968731763007'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/01/6231730.html' title='中視金橋（623）今天（1月7日）再升30%'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media='http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/' url='http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/SWS8RQGzyqI/AAAAAAAAGjA/1mKHlLggpkU/s72-c/623.jpg' height='72' width='72'/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-4340695096762881295</id><published>2009-01-07T13:49:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2009-01-07T13:51:07.431+08:00</updated><title type='text'>套現後的現金</title><content type='html'>將會買一隻還未提及過的優質股。&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;過一兩天和大家分享。&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-4340695096762881295?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/4340695096762881295/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=4340695096762881295' title='2 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/4340695096762881295'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/4340695096762881295'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/01/blog-post_07.html' title='套現後的現金'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>2</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-5208880891173697232</id><published>2009-01-07T13:41:00.001+08:00</published><updated>2009-01-08T09:47:17.163+08:00</updated><title type='text'>套現</title><content type='html'>&lt;iframe title="An EditGrid spreadsheet created by user/ericayuen" longdesc="http://www.editgrid.com/user/ericayuen/stockpicks" name="gridContainer" src="http://www.editgrid.com/publish/html/user/ericayuen/28631504/G2:I8?plain_table_mode=1&amp;amp;bgcolor=%23ffffff&amp;amp;fgcolor=%23000000&amp;amp;version=2&amp;amp;frame_style=height%3A193px%3Bwidth%3A100%25" style="height: 260px; width: 100%;" frameborder="0"&gt; &lt;/iframe&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-5208880891173697232?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/5208880891173697232/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=5208880891173697232' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/5208880891173697232'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/5208880891173697232'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/01/blog-post.html' title='套現'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-1958072530900297407</id><published>2009-01-06T10:57:00.006+08:00</published><updated>2009-01-07T22:48:27.916+08:00</updated><title type='text'>中視金橋（623）今天（1月6日）升42%</title><content type='html'>&lt;a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/SWLIwwGu0pI/AAAAAAAAGi4/RgCOCGo5YIE/s1600-h/669.jpg"&gt;&lt;img style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 320px; height: 190px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/SWLIwwGu0pI/AAAAAAAAGi4/RgCOCGo5YIE/s320/669.jpg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5288009652358795922" border="0" /&gt;hsi: 15583 (+20 points)&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;*補充：收市依然升42%&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-1958072530900297407?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/1958072530900297407/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=1958072530900297407' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/1958072530900297407'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/1958072530900297407'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/01/669.html' title='中視金橋（623）今天（1月6日）升42%'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media='http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/' url='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/SWLIwwGu0pI/AAAAAAAAGi4/RgCOCGo5YIE/s72-c/669.jpg' height='72' width='72'/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-5648802381888609808</id><published>2009-01-02T11:40:00.003+08:00</published><updated>2009-01-07T22:50:27.254+08:00</updated><title type='text'>創科（669）今天（1月2日）升30%</title><content type='html'>&lt;a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/SV2MwTNvn0I/AAAAAAAAGig/_1t-vbxihkQ/s1600-h/stock.jpg"&gt;&lt;img style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 320px; height: 239px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/SV2MwTNvn0I/AAAAAAAAGig/_1t-vbxihkQ/s320/stock.jpg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5286536299022360386" border="0" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-5648802381888609808?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/5648802381888609808/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=5648802381888609808' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/5648802381888609808'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/5648802381888609808'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2009/01/0669.html' title='創科（669）今天（1月2日）升30%'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media='http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/' url='http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_CPR2FstWqX4/SV2MwTNvn0I/AAAAAAAAGig/_1t-vbxihkQ/s72-c/stock.jpg' height='72' width='72'/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-3016940579389935098</id><published>2008-12-29T18:19:00.001+08:00</published><updated>2009-01-07T22:49:54.181+08:00</updated><title type='text'>創科Techtronic (669.HK)</title><content type='html'>&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="http://hk.finance.yahoo.com/q?s=0669.HK"&gt;0669.HK&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;（創科實業&lt;/span&gt; Techtronic&lt;span class="n"&gt;）&lt;/span&gt; is getting very interesting at current price at $1.61, at only 3.5x '08 EV/EBITDA.  Share price tanked 11.5% today (Dec 29, 2008) for no apparent reason.  There are several factors going in favor of Techtronic:&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt;1) 3.5x '08 EV/EBITDA, and with moderate EBITDA growth '08-'09, is very reasonable by any measure for a branded power tools manufacturer like Techtronic…   its closest comp, Black &amp;amp; Decker (listed in US), is trading at 7x '08 EV/EBITDA, and Black &amp;amp; Decker's EBITDA is expected to fall '08-'09&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt;2) &lt;a href="http://hk.finance.yahoo.com/q?s=0669.HK"&gt;0669.HK&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;（創科實業 &lt;/span&gt;Techtronic&lt;span class="n"&gt;)'&lt;/span&gt;s Chairman has kept buying throughout the drop, and even at the $6-8 level.  He recently bough 55 million shares from the Vice-Chairman of the company in the off-market for $2, as the Vice-Chairman (who was a co-founder of Techtronic along with the Chairman) wanted to retire.  If you buy at current price, you'll be buying at a 20% discount to the Chairman's last significant insider transaction.  The Chairman knows the company most intimately, so while one cannot quantify this factor much more, because you know it's a good thing. &lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt;3) Techtronic is rolling over + repaying its debt.  Its high indebtedness is a key concern for the market.  Its strong operating cashflow (which is very strong) will likely cover most of the debt payments, while for the rest, the company has either successfully rolled over or is close to it.&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt;4) Techtronic's raw material costs (e.g. steel, plastics) are falling alongside the collapse in commodity prices.  So that's very positive for the company's operating margins.&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt;5) Techtronic is close to completing its business portfolio restructuring (it made some acquisitions not long ago), so there are less uncertainities ahead, and there could even be synergies to be realized.&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt;6) Analysts are expecting Black &amp;amp; Decker's sales to be down 10% '08-'09, while Techtronic's to edge up slightly.  So the sales slump may not be as bad as people have anticipated / market has priced in. &lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt;7) Governments around the world (e.g. China, US) are boosting infrastructuring spendings to cushion the economic downturn, and India and Middle East will continue building roads, bridges, ports, housing, etc. because they start from a low base.  This is all positive for a power tools manufacturer like Techtronic.&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt;8) Techtronic used to be a darling to many fund managers including Value Partners but by now I would think that they have probably dumped most, if not all, of their positions, and hence clearing up the overhang, and paving way for share price recovery eventually.&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt;So overall, I think the investment is a worthwhile one.  The point is to have enough staying power in your position to hold it until the next bull market.  It could very well drop to $1.20, who knows.  But in 3-5 years, this one looks pretty good.  Or if you are more of a short-term, risk-taking flipper, you can refer to late-Oct'08 when share price fell to $1.25 (as Vice Chairman was selling at the open market *which I think is why the Chairman has to bail his ass out*… well, to be fair, some funds may be selling as well), and the next day, share price more than doubled.  So the point is that it has happened before, that this stock can double in a day at this depressed price.  But that wouldn't be my base case, and shouldn't be yours either.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-3016940579389935098?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/3016940579389935098/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=3016940579389935098' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/3016940579389935098'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/3016940579389935098'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2008/12/techtronic-669hk.html' title='創科Techtronic (669.HK)'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-4470769051026315454</id><published>2008-12-20T08:29:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2008-12-20T08:32:31.344+08:00</updated><title type='text'>Recent Oil Prices</title><content type='html'>It may be a good idea to start looking for stocks of companies which would &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;benefit from lower oil prices, and yet the market has not realized / priced in already.&lt;/span&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Just thinking out loud - one such pick may be&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt; Transport International (&lt;/span&gt;&lt;a style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://62.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;62.HK&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;, the parentco of KMB.  Reasons why I like the company are 1) monopoly, 2) not affected by economic downturn, 3) have recently raised bus fare, 4) oil is a major cost and oil price has come down significantly.  The bus business is a very low margin one (i.e. mid single-digit net margin), so you get a big bang on the buck when bus fare is raised, say 5%, as most of that would flow that to bottomline; the effect net of tax could easily lead to a 50-70% increase in net margin.  And more even so for oil price which has come down 70% from its peak.  If it stays at similar level, it will have a huge positive effect on the company's bottomline.  The extent of the effect of bus fare raise and oil drop on the bottomline will need to be quantified for those of you who are serious about doing some homework for this company, as I have only laid out the qualitative factors in play here.  One thing to look out for is that the company has sold all of its Manhattan residential projects so when you look at the annual report for 2007, you should net out the property effect, and judge the company as a bus-only going concern, though a latent value for this company is its ability/optionality to convert of some its land that is now used for bus parking for property development.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Along that "oil drop, not priced in by market" theme, there are already the toy manufacturers who's main raw materials are plastics, whose price is closely linked to oil prices.  But then, for those guys, the problem is US/EU demand.  So while their margin could improve, their revenue could decline 30%, and the net effect on the bottomline could be minimal, and the earnings could still look pretty bad.  You may also look at&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt; small industrial companies that David Webb loves, like Karrie International (&lt;/span&gt;&lt;a style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://1050.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;1050.HK&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;) &lt;/span&gt;who were killed by higher raw material prices, labor cost inflation in China, RMB appreciation (as their costs are mostly in RMB, while revenue in USD and report results in HKD).  The problem is again US/EU demand, but there may be some of these guys that will ride out this crisis, and manage to maintain their revenue at rough the same level, and are priced at 3x '08 EV/EBITDA, with healthy debt/cash profiles.  Those (if they exist) would be attractive buys.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;You'll see that out of my four stock picks in my previous column,&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt; Regal REIT (&lt;/span&gt;&lt;a style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://1881.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;1881.HK&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;) and QJY Media (&lt;/span&gt;&lt;a style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://2366.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;2366.HK&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;) already started to move up&lt;/span&gt;. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Problem with &lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;Sinomedia (&lt;/span&gt;&lt;a style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://623.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;623.HK&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;) is low trading liquidity&lt;/span&gt;, and the strategy may be to put in a low-ball bid everyday (e.g. $0.75) and see if it ever hits.  This one will take some time for trading liquidity to come back, and I believe that, along with their next result announcement, will be catalysts for the stock. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;Techtronic (&lt;/span&gt;&lt;a style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://669.hk/" target="_blank"&gt;669.HK&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style="font-weight: bold;"&gt;) is still a risk bet.  &lt;/span&gt;One favorable development in the past week is the Fed cutting rates to almost zero, as this company has high indebtedness.  I would recommend this stock only to those who have a 5-year investment horizon (i.e. can see the stock priced correctly in the middle of the next bull market).&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-4470769051026315454?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/4470769051026315454/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=4470769051026315454' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/4470769051026315454'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/4470769051026315454'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2008/12/recent-oil-prices.html' title='Recent Oil Prices'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3564324239823103992.post-5215421185819614568</id><published>2008-11-25T17:41:00.000+08:00</published><updated>2009-01-02T11:44:27.730+08:00</updated><title type='text'>Watch List</title><content type='html'>Techtronic 創科實業(link: 669.HK,現價$2.4)&lt;br /&gt;as a restructuring play, high risk &amp;amp; high expected return. Market leader in branded home improvement equipments with global business and gaining market share from weaker US competitiors.&lt;br /&gt;High indebtedness but was recently able to refinance. Free cash flow very strong. Chairman bought at $2 a couple weeks ago. Trading at 5x '08 EV/EBITDA.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;·&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Qin Jia Yuan勤＋緣媒體服務 (2366.HK,現價$1.48)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;as a growth play, low risk &amp;amp; medium expected return. Just announced stellar FYE 9/2008 results. Market leader. Expecting 30% core earnings growth for next three years. Good industry prospects. Trading at 4x '08 P/E.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;· SinoMedia 中視金橋(623.HK,現價：$0.83)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;as an asset play, low risk &amp;amp; high expected return. Net cash = market cap. Market leader. Company buying back shares for past two months. '08 is expected to be a huge year in terms of growth. Expecting 20% core earnings CAGR for next three years. Bain Capital had invested a couple years ago at 3x the current price. Good industry prospects. Trading at 3x '08 P/E.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;· Regal REIT富豪產業信託 (1881.HK,現價：$0.75)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;as a dividend play, low risk &amp;amp; medium expected return. Guaranteed dividends for '08-'10 at 20% given current price, variable for '11 and thereafter (perfect cover for economic downturn in next two years, and probably by '11, things will look better). Economic downturn may also fare better for Regal, a second-tier hotel chain, than for the likes of Shangri-La and Mandarin Oriental, as tourists become more cost-conscious. Chairman of Regal has been buying back shares for many months and public float diminishing (i.e. weak hands going into strong hands), paving way for stability in share price at this level.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Suggest average-in strategy for above stocks (i.e. buy some every month for next six months). Holding period should be five years. Don't bother if plan is to day-trade.&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3564324239823103992-5215421185819614568?l=greathkstocks.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/feeds/5215421185819614568/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=3564324239823103992&amp;postID=5215421185819614568' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/5215421185819614568'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/3564324239823103992/posts/default/5215421185819614568'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://greathkstocks.blogspot.com/2008/11/buy-list.html' title='Watch List'/><author><name>袁彌明</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09646451483340790861</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry></feed>
